Tag Archives: iPredict

New Zealand’s election gag law suspends iPredict’s political prediction markets. — [LINKS]

Posted on November 25, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

- Election gags and efficient markets. – Election gag.

Posted in Exchange & Market Management, Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Market Trading, Politics, Regulations | Tagged betting markets, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Exchange, exchanges, iPredict, iPredict New Zealand, laws, Market, markets, New Zealand, prediction market management, prediction markets, Regulations | Leave a comment

Prediction market manipulation — [LINK]

Posted on November 25, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

@ iPredict (New Zealand).

Posted in Exchange & Market Management, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Market Trading | Tagged betting markets, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Exchange, exchanges, iPredict, iPredict New Zealand, Market, markets, New Zealand, prediction markets | Leave a comment

iPredict is a way to cheaply aggregate and quantify opinions on any factual question.

Posted on April 27, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

The New Zealand prediction exchange is in the press.

Posted in Exchanges & Markets | Tagged iPredict, New Zealand | Leave a comment

iPredict’s first conditional prediction markets

Posted on January 21, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Note to our good friend Eric Crampton: – They are event derivatives, not “stocks”. I REQUEST A KIWI CORRECTION.

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Genesis | Tagged conditional prediction markets, iPredict, iPredict New Zealand, prediction markets | Leave a comment

How the iPredict market maker works

Posted on January 6, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

How the iPredict market maker works

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Makers (Automated), Software | Tagged automated market makers, iPredict, iPredict New Zealand, Prediction Market Software, prediction markets, Software, software for prediction markets | Leave a comment

iPredict New Zealand = good predictor

Posted on October 9, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Via the NZ economist

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Data), Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged accuracy, betting markets, Collective Forecasting, event derivative markets, event derivatives, forecasting, forecasts, iPredict, iPredict New Zealand, prediction markets, Predictions | Leave a comment

For our readers from New Zealand…

Posted on September 17, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

You can browse the market-generated predictions regarding New Zealand here —courtesy of iPredict New Zealand.

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Predictions - Forecasts | Tagged betting markets, event derivative markets, iPredict, iPredict New Zealand, New Zealand, Predictions, predictions markets | 1 Comment

Prediction Markets and Public Policy: New ways to harness the wisdom of crowds

Posted on August 27, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Prediction Markets and Public Policy: New ways to harness the wisdom of crowds – (PDF file) – by Matt Burgess Victoria University and the Institute for the Study of Competition and Regulation recently launched iPredict.co.nz, New Zealand’s first real money … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged betting markets, Collective Forecasting, event derivative markets, event derivatives, iPredict, iPredict New Zealand, Matt Burgess, prediction markets, Predictions, social forecasting | Leave a comment

This prediction market “is a waste of iPredictâ€™s money and doesnâ€™t contribute (much) to any useful prediction.”

Posted on July 7, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

An iPredict polÃ©mique in a Kiwi teapot.

Posted in Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged iPredict, New Zealand, prediction markets | Leave a comment