Tag Archives: information value assessment

Mystification, demystification, value assessment, and prediction markets — REDUX

A little explainer on my previous post, as I got some feedback on it. – #1. Yes, the measure of the usefulness of an idea or theory is the number and the quality of web links it receives. – Google … Continue reading

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Mystification, demystification, value assessment, and prediction markets

Justin Wolfers: Prediction markets can yield valuable insight into the dynamics of political campaigns, a conclusion we’ve drawn from years of intensive study and research. We’ve even proselytized about the value of these markets, extolling their ability to yield sharper … Continue reading

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