Tag Archives: Information Markets

Prediction markets didn’t “revolutionize” decision-making —and will never do. However, they are a nice condiment to the classic forecasting toolkit.

Posted on February 19, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

I have spent several hours re-reading the 2004 AEI-Brookings book, “Information Markets” (by which they mean “prediction markets”). It is a collection of un-enlightening research articles —except for the IEM article, which is outstanding, both on the factual and theoretical … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Collective Decision Making, Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged 2008 US presidential election, accuracy, AEI-Brookings, Bob Hahn, Collective Decision Making, decision making, efficiency, enterprise prediction markets, Information Markets, Paul Tetlock, prediction markets, public prediction markets, Robert Hahn, The Truth About Prediction Markets, velocity | Leave a comment

MicroSoft PredictionPoint – Software for Prediction Markets?

Posted on August 11, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

— MicroSoft PredictionPoint – Software for Prediction Markets? – If yes, it is probably based on Robin Hanson’s Market Scoring Rules. Henry Berg Henry Berg = Group Manager, Information Markets at Microsoft Corporation LinkedIn tells us that Robin Hanson … Continue reading →

Posted in Software | Tagged developed software, forecasting tool, Google, Group Manager, Henry Berg, Information Markets, Justin Wolfers, Microsoft Corporation, prediction markets, Robin Hanson | Leave a comment

Tag Archives: Information Markets

Prediction markets didn’t “revolutionize” decision-making —and will never do. However, they are a nice condiment to the classic forecasting toolkit.

Meet Henry Berg of MicroSoft.

MicroSoft PredictionPoint – Software for Prediction Markets?

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