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- Native apps are reigning on mobiles, but Jakob Nielsen strategically bets on web apps. — [LINK]
- Steven Krivit continues to trash Andrea Rossi and his LENR technology. — [LINK]
- Interview with Adam Lashinsky — [VIDEO]
- Why some people are more innovative — [VIDEO]
- Forbes editor deciphers Steve Jobs’s Apple. — [VIDEO]
- Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
- Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]
- Global warming is a big scam. — [LINK]
- A Swarm of Nano Quadrotors — [VIDEO]
- The Tragedy of the Commons — [VIDEO]
- Guy Kawasaki on Steve Jobs — [VIDEO]
- Inside Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
- A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
- Does Apple lack “generosity”? — [LINKS]
- Apple Education Push — [LINKS]
- Water Crystals — [DOCUMENT]
- Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
- Computers thru time — [CHART]
Tag Archives: House of Representatives
The US president argued today that an Al Qaeda-affiliated group in Iraq is linked tightly to the central Al Qaeda leadership.
Larry Downing / Reuters — George W. Bush is an imbécile. Who created ex nihilo this Iraq mess? — George W. Bush to be impeached by House of Representatives before end of his term in office — Static chart: — … Continue reading
U.S. legislation prediction markets at InTrade-TradeSports
8 hours ago on Midas Oracle, I talked about how “prediction markets on international, federal and state law-making politics” make sense. Well, turned out Chris Masse was prescient, once again. –> InTrade-TradeSports has just announced a set of U.S. legislation … Continue reading
Summary of the Tradesports DEMS.HOUSE.OVER29.5 issue, and the TS “credibility gap”
In the past weeks, there was something of a dust-up over TS’ handling of the DEMS.HOUSE.OVER29.5 contract. According to all American media, the Democrats needed 15 new House seats to gain control of the House of Representatives. And, indeed, in … Continue reading
Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements, Market Expiry
Tagged Alex Forshaw, Arbitration Committee, Bernie Sanders, Bob Menendez, Connecticut, Connecticut Senate, Corzine, Harriet Miers, House, House of Representatives, Joe Lieberman, Louisiana, Ontario, Senate, sports contracts, Trader, United States
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DEM.HOUSE.OVER29.5 (Democrats to gain at least 30 House seats) – TradeSports blows another call. – Dixit Alex Forshaw
He writes: My application to be approved for the [TradeSports] forums has been pending for about a month, so I can’t complain about a contract via the forum. — The size of the Democrats’ gains, in the context in which … Continue reading
10 days left till the November 7′s mid-term congressional elections: Are polls reliable?
Hummm… The WSJ shows us a 1994 comparison between polls and the actual outcome, which leads me to think that the Dems’s victory will be more smashing that one thinks these days. (See the WSJ picture, below.) Let’s look at … Continue reading
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice)
Tagged Brian Murdock, Congress, Darby Kopp, House of Representatives, Ken Allen, Kevin Daniels, Midas Oracle Post Author, NBC, open-source blogging software, Republican Party, Rumor Mill, Senate, Steve, Trader, United States, United States Congress, United States Senate, US House, Wall Street Journal
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Forecasting House Seats from Generic Congressional Polls
Via Andrew Gelman, this paper (PDF): Via computer simulation based on statistical analysis of historical data, we show how generic vote polls can be used to forecast the election outcome. We convert the results of generic vote polls into a … Continue reading