Tag Archives: H1N1

Novartis CEO Dr. Daniel Vasella on producing H1N1 vaccine.

And here’s a good Gawker post on Nouriel Roubini’s recent predictions.

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The truth about the H1N1 flu vaccine

Should you get the shot?

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Your search – H1N1 “prediction markets” – did not match any documents.

Your search – H1N1 “prediction markets” – did not match any documents. Previously: Have the public prediction markets ever been taken seriously by the media and the decision makers during the 1988–2009 period?

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Have the public prediction markets ever been taken seriously by the media and the decision makers during the 1988–2009 period?

Why the influenza A (H1N1) prediction markets are not used by the media and the decision makers Robin Hanson: If H1N1 were more deadly, there’d be more interest in forecasting the number of victims. So far it seems about as … Continue reading

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Influenza A (H1N1): The world does not care about our prediction markets.

A pandemic of H1N1 flu is underway. Yet, not a single news organization has recently published about prediction markets on the propagation of the pandemic of H1N1 flu. NOT A SINGLE ONE. The usefulness of prediction markets is over-rated by … Continue reading

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Were prediction markets useless during the H1N1 breakout?

Lance Fortnow: Might this be an instance where prediction markets greatly out-performed the experts? In short, no. There were relevant markets but two big problems: No one thought to create a market for the number of flu cases over a … Continue reading

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What’s next for the Swine Flu (H1N1) alert level: 4 or 6?

Whats next for the Swine Flu alert level: 4 or 6?

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Making money on the spreading (or taming) of H1N1

For info, see our good friend “Caveat Bettor”, which is the pseudonym of a savvy New York-based financial expert —who made no mystery of his real identity to moi (I won’t tell). See also “Wiser Than The Crowd”, which is … Continue reading

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Hubdub Hot Predictions This Week

Hubdub’s Hot Predictions this week, as decided by Hubdub users and staff, are selected based on their newsworthiness for the week. These stories are bound to be big news this week – and we have forecasts on how they’re likely … Continue reading

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