Tag Archives: forecasters

Predicting the monthly releases of 10 major U.S. economic indicators — [VIDEO]

Posted on April 6, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

By Emile Servan-Schreiber’s Lumenogic.

Posted in Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Pollster John Zogby attacks statistician Nate Silver. — “You take other people’s polls, compare records for predictions, add in some purely arbitrary (and not transparent) weights, then make your own projections and rankings.”

Posted on July 7, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

John Zogby to Nate Silver: Don’t Create Standards You Will Find Hard to Maintain Yourself. Be Honest. Understand That There’s Much More to Being a Good Pollster. Appreciate Innovation. Do Some Polling. Nate Silver responds. UPDATE: Prof Andrew Gelman’s take.

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Nate Silver explains how he builds his forecasting models. – [VIDEO]

Posted on March 9, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Via Joe Weisenthal

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The miracle of information aggregation and prediction accuracy

Posted on April 3, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Philip Tetlock interviewed (last year): IDEAS: Any individual expert is likely to be wrong. What happens when you put a bunch of them in the same room? Does the consensus come up with a better prediction than the individual? TETLOCK: … Continue reading →

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