Tag Archives: fivethirtyeight.com

Nate Silver of FiveThirtYeight.com on “The Interview Show” —recorded November 5th, 2008

Posted on April 17, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Nate Silver of fivethirtyeight.com on “The Interview Show,” recorded November 5th, 2008: – - Nate Silver on November 3rd, 2008: – Nate Silver on August 21, 2008: -

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Data), Forecasting (Science & Practice), Politics | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

The 2 links you should follow, first thing, this Monday morning

Posted on November 17, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

- A portrait of Nate Silver in the New York Times. – Jed Christiansen’s post-mortem on the 2008 US presidential elections. I’ll have many remarks to add to his analysis.

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 4 Comments

It wasn’t about the predictions.

Posted on November 15, 2008 by Jason Ruspini

Let’s not confuse media visibility with utility. Aside from the depressed Obama-to-win prices on one exchange, prediction market and polling aggregation results for the 2008 election were essentially the same using squared errors. Despite his insane schematics, Emile Servan-Schreiber has … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Psychology | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 10 Comments