Tag Archives: Fidel Castro

Justin Wolfers, profesor asistente de Negocios y Politica Publica, de la Universidad de Pensilvania, explica a “Prensa Libre” que el mercado de predicciones son ?mercados de futuros que persiguen resultados politicos.

Este termino vuelve inmediatamente obvia la utilidad de los futuros politicos: proveen de una prevision completa de posibles resultados politicos?. –> DOES SOMEBODY IN THE PLANE READ SPANISH?? UPDATE: Chris Hibbert has posted a pretty good English translation obtained thanks … Continue reading

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TradeSports Castro Contract and CUBA

Traders can benefit from buying CUBA, a small closed end fund, and treating it like a call option on the death of Fidel Castro. The relationship between the TS contract and the price of the fund can be seen on … Continue reading

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Data), Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , | 3 Comments