Tag Archives: Eric Zitwewitz

VIDEO — Bo Cowgill on Google’s enterprise prediction markets — O’Reilly Money:Tech

Using Prediction Markets to Track Information Flows: Evidence from Google – (PDF file – PDF file) – by Bo Cowgill, Justin Wolfers, and Eric Zitwewitz – 2008-01-06 Blip.TV – I already published this video. The reason I do it again … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Cases, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Bo Cowgill’s boss = Hal Varian

UPDATE: Bo tells us: “Actually, that’s my desk right behind him, in the top picture.” – - – Using Prediction Markets to Track Information Flows: Evidence from Google – (PDF file – PDF file) – by Bo Cowgill, Justin Wolfers, … Continue reading

Posted in People | Tagged , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Using Prediction Markets to Track Information Flows: Evidence from Google — VIDEO — Bo Cowgill on Google’s enterprise prediction markets — O’Reilly Money:Tech

Using Prediction Markets to Track Information Flows: Evidence from Google – (PDF file – PDF file) – by Bo Cowgill, Justin Wolfers, and Eric Zitwewitz – 2008-01-06 – Via Daniel Horowitz (Business and Technology Consultant) Blip.TV — (FLV file) – … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Market Efficiency), Analysis (Meta), Cases, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

A highly accurate prediction market has little value if other mechanisms can provide similar accuracy at a lower cost, or if few substantial decisions are influenced by accurate forecasts on its topic.

Robin Hanson – Overcoming Bias – - Robin Hanson at LinkedIn – Robin Hanson: Info Value = the added accuracy the markets provide relative to other mechanisms, times the value that accuracy can give in improved decisions, minus the cost … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Explainers, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Google’s Bo Cowgill takes a swipe at the prediction market software vendors.

- Using Prediction Markets to Track Information Flows: Evidence from Google – (PDF file – PDF file) – by Bo Cowgill, Justin Wolfers, and Eric Zitwewitz – 2008-01-06 – Bo Cowgill: [...] Trade-by-trade data can reveal characteristics of specific working … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Consulting | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Do Google’s enterprise prediction markets work? — Using Prediction Markets to Track Information Flows: Evidence from Google

Using Prediction Markets to Track Information Flows: Evidence from Google – (PDF file – PDF file) – by Bo Cowgill, Justin Wolfers, and Eric Zitwewitz – 2008-01-06 – VIDEO — Bo Cowgill on Google’s enterprise prediction markets — O’Reilly Money:Tech … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Market Efficiency), Analysis (Meta), Business, Cases, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 18 Comments

Google’s Bo Cowgill @ 2008 DIG Conference

2008 DIG Conference: Leveraging Information for Breakthrough Business Performance – (featuring Google’s Bo “Grandizer” Cowgill) – @ Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.A. – 2008-05-13~15 – - RELATED NOTE: I’m preparing a long post about the Cowgill/Wolfers/Zitzewitz paper… If you have positive … Continue reading

Posted in Events & Meetings | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment