Tag Archives: Duncan Watts

The difference between making sense of things and predicting things is where we run into trouble. — [LINK]

Posted on April 12, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

Duncan Watts. Via mister Pennock.

Posted in Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged Duncan Watts, forecasting, predicting | Leave a comment

Prediction markets feed on facts and expertise.

Posted on January 15, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Via Yahoo! research scientist David Pennock of Odd Head and YooPick, the dear honorable Duncan Watts: In part because of disappointing findings such as this, an increasingly popular substitute for expert opinions are so-called “prediction markets,” in which individuals buy … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged Duncan Watts, expertise, experts, Forecasting (Science & Practice), polls, prediction, prediction markets, surveys | 1 Comment

Tag Archives: Duncan Watts

The difference between making sense of things and predicting things is where we run into trouble. — [LINK]

Prediction markets feed on facts and expertise.

Meet David Pennock’s new colleagues at Yahoo! Research on micro-economics and social networking.

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