Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: Dow Jones

How far will the Dow fall before the end of 2009?

Written by Chris F. Masse on March 4, 2009 — Leave a Comment
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Also tagged , , ,

The definitive proof that HubDub is an indispensable prediction exchange. [*]

Written by Chris F. Masse on October 28, 2008 — Leave a Comment

As I told you, I am blogging as often as possible on the other blog (Midas Oracle .COM) about the 2008 US presidential elections as seen thru the eyes of the prediction markets. As I wrote there this morning, I have just found out a truly interesting set of prediction markets at HubDub. (I wasn’t [...]

Posted in Analysis (Market Calls), Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Also tagged , , , , , , , ,

“InTrade’s market data shows that the sliding Dow Jones Industrial Average has an exceptionally strong negative correlation (approx. -0.91 over the last 10 weeks) with the rise in the InTrade Market for Barack Obama to be the next US President.”

Written by Chris F. Masse on July 15, 2008 — 5 Comments

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UPDATE: Some smart comments, just below…
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Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Market Prices & Probabilities | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Would President John McCain be bad for the US economy?

Written by Chris F. Masse on March 8, 2008 — 1 Comment

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Barry Ritholtz’s comment:
So far, nearly all readers understood this to be tongue in cheek (sarcasm).
I knew, Barry.

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics, The Global Economy | Also tagged , , , , , ,

WARREN BUFFETT: I said that the US dollar might be “worth less” in five to ten years —not that it might be “worthless”.

Written by Chris F. Masse on February 7, 2008 — Leave a Comment

Hilarious. Right-click on the image to open the link in another tab. Enjoy.

Posted in Finance, Humor | Also tagged , ,

After CNBC, FBN will be another TV venue for the prediction markets.

Written by Chris F. Masse on September 19, 2007 — Leave a Comment

Variety:

“They [CNBC] dwell too much on failures and scandals and politics,” he said. “We want to spend a lot of time on innovation, successes and people who are making money.” Murdoch said the launch of FBN [Fox Business Network], and the acquisition of Dow Jones [and The Wall Street Journal] coincide with what he believes [...]

Posted in Business, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce | Also tagged ,

Rupert Murdoch WILL get the Wall Street Journal.

Written by Chris F. Masse on July 26, 2007 — Leave a Comment

News Corp and Dow Jones to complete merger on/before 31st December 2007

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Static chart:

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Also tagged , , ,

HEDGESTREET: Earnings Per Share Prediction Markets + Merger And Acquisition Prediction Markets

Written by Chris F. Masse on July 3, 2007 — 1 Comment

US-based, CFTC-regulated, real-money prediction exchange HedgeStreet:
Earnings Per Share Event Derivatives
Wal-Mart Stores
Exxon Mobil
3M
Amazon.com
Apple
Boeing
Caterpillar
Citigroup
Ford Motor
Genentech, Inc.
Google
Halliburton
Intel
McDonald’s
Microsoft
Motorola
Pfizer
Yahoo
Bebe
Costco Wholesale
Dell
Electronic Arts (EA)
Hewlett-Packard
NYSE Euronext
Time Warner
UAL
Walt Disney
Merger And Acquisition Event Derivatives
Siruis/Xm
Yahoo/Microsoft
Newscorp /Dow Jones
Hershey / Cadbury
ISe / Deutsche Bourse
ISE / NYSE
Nasdaq / PHLX
Google / Salesforce
Upperdeck / Topps
Quite impressive list.
Previous: EPS Prediction Markets = Earnings Per Share Prediction Markets

Posted in Exchanges & Markets | Also tagged , , , , ,

EU Seeks Compensation From US For Banning Online Gambling.

Written by Chris F. Masse on June 20, 2007 — Leave a Comment

Dow Jones:
The European Union told the U.S. Tuesday that it wanted compensation for a U.S. foreign online gambling sites ban that doesn’t comply with global trade rules.

Posted in Regulations | Also tagged , , ,

CNBC ALERT: HedgeStreet’s Russell Andersson – 2:50pm ET – Tuesday, June 5, 2007

Written by Chris F. Masse on June 5, 2007 — Leave a Comment

CNBC – (& CNBC Europe, I believe) – Topic: Corporate Mergers & Acquisitions
HedgeStreet “Binary Options” contracts on corporate mergers and acquisitions:
- NYSE & ISE
- Microsoft & Yahoo!
- Hershey & Cadbury
- Deutsche Borse & ISE
- News Corp & Dow Jones
- Sirius Satellite & XM Satellite Radio
- Nasdaq & PHLX (the Philadelphia Stock Exchange)
Previous: Mergers & Acquisitions [...]

Posted in Exchanges & Markets | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,
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