Tag Archives: Donald Luskin

2 Democratic-leaning columnists who used to deride the prediction markets are now over-quoting them —now that those prediction markets are predicting a landslide for Barack Obama come November 2008.

- Paul Krugman – Today: A real little PM fanboy. – Yesterday: Overly critical. (See Eric Zitzewitz’s comment.) – Daniel Gross – Today: A real little PM fanboy. (See towards the end.) – Yesterday: Overly critical. – As for the … Continue reading

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Justin Wolfers should have his own Wikipedia entry.

Any Wikipedian out there willing to start off his page? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Justin_Wolfers – Robin Hanson, Tyler Cowen, Steve Levitt, and even Don Luskin and Robert Scoble, have their own Wikipedia entry. Why not Wolfers???… I realized that when I updated my … Continue reading

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I can be bombastic sometimes, but I can also be polite and respectful at other times.

Caveat Bettor, In my post, I said that I “respect” him “as a Wall Street professional and as a libertarian blogger.” How more “agreeable” should I have been???… On top of that, his name is listed here. As for responding … Continue reading

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Donald Luskin outputs a bad explainer on prediction markets.

Firstly, I’d like to say that I respect Donald Luskin as a Wall Street professional and as a libertarian blogger. But I think that his explainer is too simplistic. – Not a single word on the concept of probabilistic prediction: … Continue reading

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Who did best in explaining the prediction markets to the lynching crowd?

After the New Hampshire fiasco, 16 18 people came to defend the prediction markets, so far. So far, the best takes are from: George Tziralis Robin Hanson Jonathan Kennedy and I’ll give the 4th spot to a combo, mixing takes … Continue reading

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Prediction markets are forecasting tools of convenience that feed on advanced indicators.

Why were the political prediction markets so wrong about Barak Obama and Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire? …asks Slate’s Daniel Gross —via Mister Usability (Alex Kirtland), who needs to go and get his own gravatar. So, I’ve been watching the … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Leading & Lagging Indicators, Market Expiry, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

Can you think of another name to add in this list?

Acknowledments – Friedrich August von Hayek (an economist who introduced, among other things, the concept of the market as an information aggregation tool in The Use of Knowledge in Society, and the 1974 co-winner of the Nobel Prize in economics); … Continue reading

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Has Donald Luskin given up on InTrade-TradeSports?

I haven’t seen any mention of InTrade, on his blog, since March 2007.

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The mainstream media try to silence Republican presidential candidate Ron Paul. It’s a giant conspiracy.

— The two-sentence excerpt run by NBC News (Brian Williams – Thursday, May 17, 2007): They attack us because we’ve been over there. We’ve been bombing Iraq for 10 years. And then Alan Greenspan’s spouse cut Ron Paul abruptly to … Continue reading

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US Libertarian Ron Paul’s statements in the May 3, 2007′s debate among the Republican presidential aspirants.

Via Donald Luskin, US Libertarian Ron Paul’s statements in the May 3, 2007′s debate among the Republican presidential aspirants.

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