Tag Archives: corporate forecasting

Prediction Markets = Social Business Intelligence

Posted on July 27, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Good article about CrowdCast.

Posted in Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged betting markets, business intelligence, Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence, corporate forecasting, CrowdCast, enterprise prediction markets, event derivative markets, event derivatives, forecasting, prediction markets, social business intelligence | Leave a comment

Good article about corporate forecasting in The Economist (circa February 2009)

Posted on December 15, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

The Economist / CFO.com: The usual trick of plugging figures from operating units into spreadsheets appeals to number-crunchers, but can often generate misleading targets, especially when conditions change fast. [...] Some companies have formalised this kind of approach by creating … Continue reading →

Posted in Business, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged corporate forecasting, enterprise forecasting, forecasting, forecasts, predicting, Predictions, rolling forecasts | Leave a comment

Assessing the usefulness of enterprise prediction markets

Posted on September 29, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Do you need to have experience in running an enterprise prediction exchange in order to assess the pertinence of enterprise prediction markets? Paul Hewitt: Hi Jedâ€¦ As for qualifications, I have been making business decisions for almost 30 years. I … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Cases, Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged accuracy, Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence, corporate forecasting, corporate prediction markets, enterprise forecasting, enterprise prediction markets, internal prediction markets, prediction accuracy, prediction markets, private prediction markets | 1 Comment

The truth about CrowdClarity’s extraordinary predictive power (which impresses Jed Christiansen so much)

Posted on September 29, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Paul Hewitt: At first blush, it appears that we finally have a bona fide prediction market success! If we’re going to celebrate, I’d suggest Prosecco, not Champagne, however. There are a number of reasons to be cautious. These represent only … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Data), Analysis (Meta), Cases, Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence, corporate forecasting, corporate prediction markets, CrowdClarity, enterprise forecasting, enterprise prediction markets, General Motors, internal prediction markets, prediction markets, private prediction markets | Leave a comment

Finally, a positive corporate prediction market case study… —well, according to Jed Christiansen

Posted on September 28, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Jed Christiansen: To recap, the prediction market beat the official GM forecast (made at the beginning of the month) easily, which isnâ€™t hugely surprising considering the myopic nature of internal forecasting. But the prediction market also beat the Edmunds.com forecast. … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Data), Analysis (Meta), Business, Cases, Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence, corporate forecasting, corporate prediction markets, CrowdClarity, enterprise forecasting, enterprise prediction markets, General Motors, internal prediction markets, prediction markets, private prediction markets | 12 Comments

Using prediction markets to selecting the best ideas as opposed to judging accuracy of predictions on measurable outcomes?

Posted on May 1, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

I don’t get it, but you can always go there and scan that illogical Motorola EPM story.

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Cases, Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged corporate forecasting, corporate prediction markets, enterprise prediction markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), internal prediction markets, Motorola, prediction markets, private prediction markets | 5 Comments