Tag Archives: conventional wisdom

Jim Rogers: How to make millions on the financial markets without using Robin Hanson’s collective forecasting or James Surowiecki’s wisdom of crowds

Posted on December 4, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Jim Rogers in the FT: What is the secret of your success? As I was not smarter than most people, I was willing to work harder than most. I was prepared to examine conventional wisdom. If everyone thinks one way, … Continue reading →

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Prediction markets = A tool for quantifying the conventional wisdom

Posted on January 10, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Eric Zitzewitz responded to Paul Krugman: Almost all of the serious people who study or work with these markets are not in the “markets are magic” camp. My work in this area (with Justin Wolfers usually and Andrew Leigh and … Continue reading →

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