Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: Concensus Point

Robin Hanson has convinced Concensus Point to support combinatorial prediction markets.

Robin Hanson:
I’ve developed a combinatorial betting tech that lets a few or many users edit an always-coherent joint probability distribution over all value combinations of some set of base variables. Far futures base variables might include the years of important tech milestones, population, wealth, or mortality values at particular future dates, etc. Each user edit [...]

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