Tag Archives: California Institute of Technology

CLIMBING HIS WAY TO THE TOP: Erik Snowberg is now Assistant Professor of Economics and Political Science at California Institute of Technology.

- Erik Snowberg @ CalTech Erik Snowberg @ LinkedIn -

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The best research papers on prediction markets

As seen by Andreas Graefe… IIF’s SIG on Prediction Markets Research Papers Basics Several studies explain the concept of prediction markets and provide useful summaries of the method, e.g. – Spann, M. & Skiera, B. (2003). Internet-based Virtual Stock Markets … Continue reading

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The best researchers on prediction markets

CFM: Scholars Check that CFM page for updates. And contact me so I can make additions to the list. (I’ll then re-publish that updated list on Midas Oracle.) – Michael Abramowicz – Michael B. Abramowicz – (Law School, George Washington … Continue reading

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Charles Plott (a big-shot economist) condemns all the hype surrounding the prediction markets and the wisdom of crowds.

California Institute of Technology economist Charles Plott: What you’re doing is collecting bits and pieces of information and aggregating it so we can watch it and understand what people know. People picked this up and called it the “wisdom of … Continue reading

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Economists’ Petition on Prediction Markets

Statement on Prediction Markets – (Click here to read the abstract and download the petition from the SSRN site) – by Kenneth J. Arrow, Robert Forsythe, Michael Gorham, Robert Hahn, Robin Hanson, Daniel Kahneman, John O. Ledyard, Saul Levmore, Robert … Continue reading

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The structure of simExchange game stocks

Brian Shiau (draft): Contracts on most prediction markets are often binary contracts that pay depending on whether the event described by the contract occurs or does not occur. This structure is often referred as a binary option [1]. However, a … Continue reading

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