Tag Archives: Bush

What InTrade CEO John Delaney told the CFTC about “event markets” (prediction markets)

Posted on July 16, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

John Delaney (CEO of InTrade) – (InTrade PDF file – CFTC PDF file): July 4th 2008 The Commodity Futures Trading Commission Three Lafayette Centre 1155 21st Street NW Washington, DC 20581 U.S.A. Attention: Office of the Secretariat RE: â€œConcept Release … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Tagged 202.418.5521, 4th of July, ABC, Acting Chairman, American Enterprise Institute, Andy Serwer, Arthur Levitt Jr., Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Bloomberg, Brookings Joint Centre, Bush, Cato Institute, CEO, CFTC, Charles Noussair, Chicago, Chicago Tribune, Chief Executive Officer, CNN, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Congress, David Leonhardt, David Paton, David Pennock, de facto leader, Economics Reporter, economist, energy, Eric Zitzewitz, Erik Snowberg, European Central Bank, event derivative exchanges, event derivative markets, event derivatives, evet derivatives, federal government, Federal Reserve System, Florida, Fortune, Frankfurt, general public use, George Mason University, governor, HDDVD, Important Mission, InTrade, InTrade CEO, Ireland, Ivy League College, Jason Ruspini, John Delaney, Justin Wolfers, KING, Koleman Strumpf, Lafayette Centre, laws, Leighton Vaughan-Williams, London, managing editor, Marco Ottaviani, Mark J. Perry, Mark Perry, media businesses, Michigan, naturaldisaster, New York, North Korea, Paul Tetlock, prediction exchanges, Prediction Market Limited, prediction markets, President, price discovery information, Professor, professor of economics, Ray Disc, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, Reuters, Richmond, Robert Mugabe, Robin Hanson, Saddam Hussein, Secretary, Securities and Exchange Commission, Stephen Dubner, the Financial Times, The Los Angles Times, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, the Washington Post, TIME MAGAZINE, Toshiba, traded bets, U.S. Department of Energy, United States, United States Navy, University of Michigan-Flint, University of Westminster Business School, US government, USD, Wall Street Journal, Walt Lukken, What InTrade, White House, Yoshiaki Arata | 3 Comments

LET’S REVISIT HISTORY: In May 2007, Harvard professor of economics Kenneth Rogoff laughed in Paul Wolfowitzâ€™s face.

Posted on June 22, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

BACKGROUND INFO: Kenneth Rogoff is a visiting scholar at the Brookings Institution and professor of economics at Harvard University. – May 2007′s Blog Post: INSIDER TRADING: World Bank employees speculating on the Paul Wolfowitz event derivatives at InTrade-TradeSports?? – - … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, History, Humor, Politics | Tagged Alberto Gonzalez, American Enterprise Institute, Asia, Bank President, Brookings Institution, Bush, Bush administration, deputy, Deputy Secretary of Defense, Finance, finance minister, Harvard, Harvard University, Heritage Foundation, important international development agency, insider trading, internet browsers, InTrade, Iraq, Kenneth Rogoff, New Zealander Graeme, Paul Wolfowitz, prediction markets, President, President of the World, professor of economics, professor of economics Kenneth Rogoff, Republican Party, Shaha Riza, South Africa, TradeSports, Trevor Manuel, United States, United States Of America, US Attorney General, White House, World Bank, World Bank Internal Investigations Unit, World Bank Staff, Zealander Graeme Wheeler | Leave a comment

Tax Futures, “In Real Life”

Posted on February 7, 2008 by Jason Ruspini

I am very pleased to announce the world’s first tax futures on Intrade. I thank John Delaney and everyone there for their help and enthusiasm in getting these off the ground. The contracts will forecast the highest marginal single-filer federal … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged Bush, Congress, event derivative markets, event derivatives, InTrade, Jason Ruspini, John Delaney, prediction markets, tax, tax futures, tax prediction markets, tax rate futures, tax rate prediction markets | 3 Comments

Pat Buchanan laments the end of WASP America.

Posted on November 26, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

— Drudge Report: Pax Americana, the era of U.S. global dominance, is over. A struggle for global hegemony has begun among the United States, China, a resurgent Russia and radical Islam. Bushâ€™s invasion of Iraq was a product of hubris … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Market Proposals), People | Tagged Afghanistan, America, Bush, Canada, China, Iraq, Mexico, North American Union, Pat Buchanan, Russia, Southwest, Sovereign Wealth Funds, State Of Emergency, United States | 1 Comment

IRAQ WAR SPEECH: In what world is the president of the United States living?

Posted on September 14, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

… asks Fred Kaplan in Bush’s appalling Iraq speech. — NewsFutures: Will U.S. Troops begin leaving Iraq soon? Each I0908BYE contract will be worth x$100 if the U.S. Troop level (Active + National Guard + Reserve) in Iraq is reduced … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged Brookings Institution, Bush, Fred Kaplan, Iraq, National Guard, President, United States, USD | Leave a comment

Once again, resignation prediction markets failed to the task.

Posted on August 27, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

US Attorney General Alberto Gonzales resigns. More. (Good riddance, by the way.) Doug Mills / The New York Times — Once again, Chris Masse was right on the money: [...] Just like the Olympic City prediction markets, the resignation prediction … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged Alberto Gonzales, attorney general, Bush, Chris Masse, Doug Mills, Karl Rove, Olympic, Olympic committee, the New York Times, United States, White House | 4 Comments

Prediction Market Nobody But EJSS Gives The First Fig About

Posted on August 9, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

A Human-Aid cabinet-level Department will be created. Each NEWCAB*Y contract will be worth X$100 if during his 2nd term, President Bush establishes a Cabinet-level Department charged with the mandate of managing all U.S. foreign aid activities. Otherwise it will be … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged Bush, Cabinet-level Department, President, United States, USD | Leave a comment

Senate Democrats are urging Republicans on the record about whether embattled Attorney General Gonzales should keep his job.

Posted on June 11, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Wall Street Journal — — Alberto Gonzales will remain Attorney General through the rest of Bush’s presidency. Â© NewsFutures

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged Alberto Gonzales, attorney general, Bush, Wall Street Journal | 1 Comment

Manipulation can affect prices.

Posted on May 30, 2007 by Eric Zitzewitz

For the last two weeks a very interesting manipulation has been going on in Intrade‘s “Hillary Clinton for President” contract. 1. The contract had been trading between 23 and 26 all year. It has consistently been about half the price … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Market Calls), Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged Bush, Greg Mankiw, Hanson, Hillary Clinton, media mention, Palm Desert, President, Republican Party, slightly weaker general election candidate, Tyler Cowen, USD | 10 Comments

YET ANOTHER PRO-ISRAEL WARMONGER TRIES TO PUSH AMERICA INTO ANOTHER MIDDLE EAST WAR.

Posted on May 30, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Wall Street Journal: The Case for Bombing Iran I hope and pray that President Bush will do it. Norman Podhoretz is editor-at-large of Commentary. His new book, “World War IV: The Long Struggle Against Islamofascism,” will be released by Doubleday … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged America, Bush, Center for Jewish Studies, City University of New York, Editor, Islamic Republic of Iran, Israel, Norman Podhoretz, President, Queens College, United States, Wall Street Journal | Leave a comment

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