Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

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Prediction Markets as a Medical Forecasting Tool: Demand for Hospital Services

Written by Chris F. Masse on August 20, 2009 — Leave a Comment

Prediction Markets as a Medical Forecasting Tool: Demand for Hospital Services
Background
This paper presents the outcome of a study conducted at the Royal Devon and Exeter Hospital in which a prediction market was established in order to forecast demand for services. To the researcher’s knowledge, it does not appear that prediction markets have been previously utilized [...]

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets | Also tagged , , , , , , , , ,

Three Voices on Prediction Markets: The Analyst, the Believer, and the Skeptic

Written by Chris F. Masse on August 20, 2009 — Leave a Comment

Three Voices on Prediction Markets: The Analyst, the Believer, and the Skeptic
Followed from:
- Crowdsourcing and Prediction Markets: Right-Timing Revisited
Via the Spigit guy

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets | Also tagged , , , , , ,

Where is the post-election academic conference on prediction market performance?

Written by Michael Giberson on October 7, 2008 — 5 Comments

Giberson asks, “Where is the 2008 post-election academic conference on prediction market performance going to be?”

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Industry), Economics, Events & Meetings | Also tagged , ,

Something absolutely EXTRAORDINARY happened in my life, today.

Written by Chris F. Masse on September 24, 2008 — 1 Comment

I subscribed to Paul Krugman’s blog.
What’s next?

Posted in Finance, Resources - References | Also tagged , , , , , , , ,

Ends and Means of Prediction Markets — Tom W. Bell Edition

Written by Chris F. Masse on June 10, 2008 — 1 Comment

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Do the economists like Robin Hanson agree with Tom W. Bell’s classification?
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Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Economics, Exchanges & Markets, Explainers, Regulations | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , , ,

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