Tag Archives: Alex Forshaw

Meet Alex Forshaw, political event derivative trader.

Posted on July 19, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Alex Forshaw

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THE 2007-07-07 LUCKY DAY: Washington Post’s Slate.com links to Eric Zitzewitz’s piece on Midas Oracle.

Posted on July 7, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Tim Harford: The economists Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz have pointed out that Hillary Clinton’s chances of becoming president, as predicted by one betting market, InTrade, started to climb dramatically mid-May, topping 40 per cent after months of fluctuating between … Continue reading →

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US POLITICS: Do follow the polls, but do also follow THE MONEY.

Posted on July 7, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

This table is very usable, very clear, very readable, as opposed to the verbose blablating from the political commentators. They should publish more tables like this one, and less blablating. Previous: InTrade: Obama and Clinton at near-parity – by Alex … Continue reading →

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What the hell are PRIVATE WALL STREET WAGERS????

Posted on July 3, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Dan Dorfman: The newest bet, the single biggest such Street election wager I’ve heard about — one that’s illegal in America and which I’ve confirmed — is a $350,000 wager that Mrs. Clinton will win the presidency. Four people are … Continue reading →

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TheStreet.com on political prediction markets

Posted on June 28, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Since the writer never mention the “prediction markets” keyword, I would have never spotted it, if it weren’t for the intrepid Niall O’Connor. Basically, the The Street.com guy says that Hillary Clinton is red hot like ambers. Which will make … Continue reading →

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I do believe in fairness. I remember when there was a fairness doctrine, and I think there was much more serious, correct reporting to people.

Posted on June 25, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Video: US Senator Dianne Feinstein (California – Democratic) Reinstatement of the Fairness Doctrine by Congress — MONEY ON THE TABLE AT INTRADE-TRADESPORTS??? Alex Forshaw, Caveat Bettor, Steve Roman, et al., waiting to hear you on this. I’m republishing the chart … Continue reading →

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Seriously, why aren’t more people talking more about this?

Posted on June 13, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Asks the InTrade trader Alex Forshaw about the probable (not a sure thing, though) manipulation of the Hillary Clinton prediction market. Previous: There’s a deep-pocket Clinton pal who is pushing her event derivative way up. + Who could have masterminded … Continue reading →

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The staying power of wind energy companies is dependent on tax benefits from the capricious hands of lawmakers in Congress.

Posted on June 1, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

New York Times Thus, the case for prediction markets on international, federal and state law-making politics. Providing that the political intelligence research shops that gather information from Capitol Hill and retail it to hedge funds and other money managers ALSO … Continue reading →

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THE ALEX FORSHAW PARADOX: I’m with Koleman Strumpf, he’s the man… but there IS manipulation going on.

Posted on June 1, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Alex Forshaw: Speculative-attack expert and professor Koleman Strumpf caught some pretty obvious manipulation of the 2008PRES.HILLARY contract. As someone who spends at least an hour trading the nominations markets every day, I have gotten the sense that someone (probably the … Continue reading →

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Mid-term, US Attorney General Roberto Gonzales is toasted maybe not toasted yet.

Posted on May 26, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

— Alberto Gonzales will remain Attorney General through the rest of Bush’s presidency. © NewsFutures UPDATE: Alex Forshaw… Intrade is saying that Gonzales probably _won’t_ be fired before September, and by December, little better than a coin toss. Alex, the … Continue reading →

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