Prediction Markets = Collective Forecasting = Collective Intelligence That Predicts

Category Archives: Software

Is BetFair becoming too complicated?

BetFair have had to allow customers to clear off complexity.

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BetFair’s crappy chart widgets

They are crappy because they don’t go into feeds —contrary to InTrade and NewsFutures’s chart widgets.
BetFair’s crappy chart widgets were crafted by DeLuxe Corporation. Yet another web service provider to avoid.

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CrowdCast = Collective Forecasting = Collective Intelligence That Predicts

The fine people at CrowdCast (Mat Fogarty and Leslie Fine) are finally out today with their brand-new, no-trading, collective forecasting mechanism. The purpose is to aggregate information across one organization so as to generate the most objective business forecasts. The readers of Midas Oracle are well aware of the (relative) performance of the prediction markets [...]

Is General Electric Imagination Market a joke?

Emile Servan-Schreiber bends David Perry’s ear.
Emile Servan-Schreiber (of NewsFutures):
From: Emile Servan-Schreiber
Date: Mon, 15 Jun 2009 22:45:43 +0200
Subject: Re: GE Imagination Market License
That’s pretty funny, considering that the creator of the GE Imagination Market herself concludes in several published papers that “using markets to rank ideas may be no better than other methods of idea ranking,” [...]

Social networking tool Spigit goes enteprise prediction markets.

Spigit
Read & Write Web
Twitter

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Mobile site review: BetFair

Mobile site review: BetFair

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IncentAlign – Harness the power of free markets for your firm…

IncentAlign – Harness the power of free markets for your firm…

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MicroSoft have patented the prediction markets.

Well, at least, one aspect of the prediction markets.
Uniited States Patent Application:
CONTINUOUS BETTING INTERFACE TO PREDICTION MARKET
Abstract
A user participates in trading securities in a prediction market which represent different outcomes of an event, using an interface which allows the user to understand a trade in terms of a bet. The interface also allows the user [...]

Intrade Meltdown

Intrade has been experiencing a technical meltdown over the last 8 hours. The site was completely down from about 7pm EST Monday to 3am EST Tuesday. When it came back up there was no email explanation, no forum explanation. Those who sent complaint emails were given a reply by Carl Wolfenden saying full [...]

NewsFutures’s software and consulting on enterprise prediction markets

I am happy to run Emile Servan-Schreiber’s correction (well, correcting me ) on the fact that NewsFutures still provides EPM SaaS, since I love NewsFutures’s CDA technology as much as Chris Hibbert does. However, I maintain that providers of collective intelligence solutions for companies are turning their back to the trading technology, from [...]

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