Australian economist Justin Wolfers in utter disbelief, upon hearing about the demise of ECONOMIC DERIVATIVES.

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A dog in utter disbelief

Previous: ECONOMIC DERIVATIVES is dead. + Justin Wolfers on Economic Derivatives

Previous blog posts by Chris F. Masse:

  • IIF’s SIG on Prediction Markets
  • Science
  • Why did prediction markets do well in the pre-polling era, professor Strumpf?
  • Mozilla FireFox users, do you have trouble downloading academic papers (as PDF files) from SSRN?
  • “Impact Matrix. Used to collect and gauge the likelihood and business impact of various events in the very long term.”
  • Ends and Means of Prediction Markets — Tom W. Bell Edition
  • How to run enterprise prediction markets… legally

Short on Pablo Picasso, Long on Vincent Van Gogh??

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The Art Trading Fund is the first regulated fine art hedge fund.

We are an art trading hedge fund focused on 3 to 12 month returns. The Fund buys and sells art via its global network of dealers, renowned artists, auction houses and galleries. Returns are maximised through geographical price arbitrage and by removing market inefficiencies. The Fund sources art from a bank of vendors and sells through the network’s pool of highly liquid buyers. Using an objective investment process the Fund essentially monetises the substantial margins of a gallery and art dealing business – without the high fixed cost base of either – and passes that ‘alpha’ on to the end investor. The investment managers add additional value through asset allocation and via a synthetic hedge that provides downside protection.

Hey&#8230- speaking of art&#8230- anyone for art business prediction markets??

UPDATE: Rod&#8230-

About a month ago, The Economist wrote an article about this fund: Painting by numbers. In my opinion, the most interesting aspect about investing in art is that nobody really knows what a given work of art is worth. Unlike commodities such as platinum, gold or silver, works or art are highly differentiated assets, and therefore it’s hard to put a price tag on them. Ultimately, the (market) value of a painting or a sculpture is whatever the highest bidder is willing to pay for it.

Whether the hedge fund invests in startups, movies or art pieces, the basic idea is that the profits on the winners should tower the bath they take on the losers.

Previous blog posts by Chris F. Masse:

  • The CFTC is going to close the comments in 15 days. We have 15 days left to convince the CFTC to accept FOR-PROFIT prediction exchanges, and counter the evil petition organized by the American Enterprise Institute (which has on its payroll Paul Wolfowitz, the bright masterminder of the Iraq war).
  • The CFTC is going to close the comments in 16 days. We have 16 days left to convince the CFTC to accept FOR-PROFIT prediction exchanges, and counter the evil petition organized by the American Enterprise Institute (which has on its payroll Paul Wolfowitz, the bright masterminder of the Iraq war).
  • Brand-new scientific report certifies that starting off the Large Hadron Collider is NOT going to destroy the Earth. Glad to hear that. It means that any bets entertained on the LHC issue will be able to be resolved and winnings to be collected in the end.
  • Small Business = GOOD — Big Business = BAD
  • The letter David Pennock will never send out —well, we hope.
  • Monitor the web traffic of TradeSports.com, InTrade.com, BetFair.com, Betdaq.com, NewsFutures.com, HubDub.com, etc. —thanks to Google Trends.
  • Here’s the way to promote innovation for entry-order and analysis software packages —separate the 2 functions.

Veteran Republican Vic Gold describes VP Dick Cheney as a MEGA-MANIACAL PARANOID whose secret empire within the government has captured the George W. Bush presidency and helped bring the Republican Party to the brink of ruin.

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Eleanor Clift: A longtime confidant of the Bush and Cheney families describes the dangerous influence of the vice president.

Vic Gold&#8217-s book: Invasion of the Party Snatchers: How the Holy-Rollers and the Neo-Cons Destroyed the GOP

Washington Post&#8217-s dossier on VP Dick Cheney

Part 1: Working in the Background
A master of bureaucracy and detail, Cheney exerts most of his influence out of public view.
Part 2: Wars and Interrogations
Convinced that the &#8220-war on terror&#8221- required &#8220-robust interrogations&#8221- of captured suspects, Dick Cheney pressed the Bush administration to carve out exceptions to the Geneva Conventions.
Sidebar: Cheney on Presidential Power
Part 3: Dominating Budget Decisions
Working behind the scenes, Dick Cheney has made himself the dominant voice on tax and spending policy, outmaneuvering rivals for the president&#8217-s ear.
Sidebar: Expanding Authority for No. 2 Spot
Sidebar: Taking on the Supreme Court Case
Part 4: Environmental Policy
Dick Cheney steered some of the Bush administration&#8217-s most important environmental decisions &#8212- easing air pollution controls, opening public parks to snowmobiles and diverting river water from threatened salmon.
Sidebar: Maintaining Connections

Vice President Cheney, standing behind the president&#8217-s desk during a July 2003 meeting, circumvented Secretary of State Colin L. Powell in 2001 on the military commissions order:

Dick Cheney

Credit: Washington Post

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JFK got killed, but Dick Cheney gets to live.

Cockroach

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Dick Cheney Resignation

Price for Dick Cheney Resignation at intrade.com
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Dick Cheney will resign as VP before his 2nd term is up.


© NewsFutures

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Static charts (for the blog archives, since the dynamic ones above will disappear after their expiry):

Dick Cheney Resignation

InTrade Dick Cheney June 2007

Dick Cheney will resign as VP before his 2nd term is up.

Dick Cheney NewsFutures June 2007

Previous blog posts by Chris F. Masse:

  • IIF’s SIG on Prediction Markets
  • Science
  • Why did prediction markets do well in the pre-polling era, professor Strumpf?
  • Mozilla FireFox users, do you have trouble downloading academic papers (as PDF files) from SSRN?
  • “Impact Matrix. Used to collect and gauge the likelihood and business impact of various events in the very long term.”
  • Ends and Means of Prediction Markets — Tom W. Bell Edition
  • How to run enterprise prediction markets… legally