Barack Obama is the presumptive nominee of the Democratic party.

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Cocky HubDub has just expired the contract. InTrade and BetFair did not. InTrade will expire the Democratic candidate contract when the Democratic party declares their nominee at their convention. BetFair does not state anything. Maybe they&#8217-re too shy to tell. :-D

UPDATE: Read Andrew Sulivan&#8217-s analysis of Hillary Clinton&#8217-s speech.

UPDATE: NewsFutures did not expired its Democratic candidate contract either.

UPDATE: Brad Stewart tells us in a comment that Reality Markets did not expire its contract, too.

Previous blog posts by Chris F. Masse:

  • No Trades (other than at the start) —-> Not a reliable predictor, as of today
  • How you should read Midas Oracle
  • The best prediction exchanges
  • “There will be no media consumption left in ten years that is not delivered over an IP network. There will be no newspapers, no magazines that are delivered in paper form. Everything gets delivered in an electronic form.”
  • Hillary Clinton won’t be on the Democratic ticket. — It’s not going to happen. — N-E-V-E-R. — Not a chance. — Period.
  • Suggestion for WordPress — Subscribers’ Capabilities
  • This is why I said that those who believe that Hillary Clinton has a chance to be on the Democratic ticket are “clueless”.

8 thoughts on “Barack Obama is the presumptive nominee of the Democratic party.

  1. Brad Stewart said:

    Neither did Reality Markets.

  2. Chris F. Masse said:

    @Brad Stewart: “Neither did Reality Markets.”

    I have updated the post. Thanks.

  3. Ed Murray said:

    I read (i think,……) that a candidate in the past some time ago was killed before he could take up the nomination.  Any ideas who that might have been?  He was a near certainty to get it without a mishap.

    I think its the right idea not to settle it yet btw.  Politics, as is the case with many things, is a funny old game, and seemingly impossible things do happen. 

  4. Allen said:

    I think Obama is capable of taking on McCain. People are tired of the Republicans messing up the real estate and the war in Iraq.

  5. Brad Stewart said:

    Neither did Reality Markets.

  6. Chris F. Masse said:

    @Brad Stewart: “Neither did Reality Markets.”

    I have updated the post. Thanks.

  7. Ed Murray said:

    I read (i think,……) that a candidate in the past some time ago was killed before he could take up the nomination.  Any ideas who that might have been?  He was a near certainty to get it without a mishap.

    I think its the right idea not to settle it yet btw.  Politics, as is the case with many things, is a funny old game, and seemingly impossible things do happen. 

  8. Allen said:

    I think Obama is capable of taking on McCain. People are tired of the Republicans messing up the real estate and the war in Iraq.

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