Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off
There has been some discussion over the years about whether Sarah Jones was a real person since solicitations to participate in “your PM Cluster” sounded very much like another person. Well we just picked up a voicemail on our main line from none other than Sarah Jones (at least that’s what she said her name was 
) so it seems she does actually exist. Admittedly I had wondered if she was an imaginary friend too, but perhaps this urban legend can finally be put to rest.
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Jason Ruspini on Does InTrade participate on its own prediction markets?Max Keiser on Does InTrade participate on its own prediction markets?Max Keiser on Nate Silver: InTrade probability on ObamaCare is quite right.Max Keiser on When the ObamaCare event derivative reaches 80%, I will officially declare America as a socialist country —just like France and Sweden.Jason Ruspini on OBAMACARE PREDICTION MARKET WAS BRIEFLY MANIPULATED YESTERDAY EVENING SO IT WOULD ARTIFICIALLY CLOSE AT $35. – [CHART]
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Chris F. Masse on We interrupt this report to bring you some Jazz.Chris F. Masse on OBAMACARE PREDICTION MARKET WAS BRIEFLY MANIPULATED YESTERDAY EVENING SO IT WOULD ARTIFICIALLY CLOSE AT $35. – [CHART]Chris F. Masse on “InTrade should address this incident and suspend the account of whoever did this.”
We know that, already.
What we wanted to know is whether it is her who operates her e-mail account that feeds that e-mailing list. There are many similitudes in vocabularies and styles with the messages posted by John M.
Hence, the question.
http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/11/19/sarah-v-jones/