Super Tuesday Showdown: Intrade v. Zogby

Caveat Bettor February 4th, 2008

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Up at Caveat Bettor.

Zogby poll numbers here. Intrade snapshots taken at 1pm. Here are the notable divergences between the pollster and the prediction market:

NJ Dem: Intrade calling for Clinton, while Zogby in a tie.

CA Rep: Intrade calling for McCain, while Zogby calling for Romney.

Standings      
Wins Losses Ties Pct Contender
         
3 2 4 0.556 Intrade
2 3 4 0.444 Zogby
Schedule            
Score Date   State Party Intrade Zogby Winner
               
3-2-4 29-Jan   FL Rep McCain 2-way-tie McCain
2-2-4 26-Jan   SC Dem Obama Obama Obama
2-2-3 19-Jan   SC Rep McCain McCain McCain
2-2-2 19-Jan   NV Dem Obama Clinton Clinton
2-1-2 15-Jan   MI Rep McCain 2-way tie Romney
2-0-2 8-Jan   NH Dem Obama Obama Clinton
2-0-1 8-Jan   NH Rep McCain McCain McCain
2-0-0 3-Jan   IA Dem Obama 3-way tie Obama
1-0-0 3-Jan   IA Rep Huckabee 2-way tie Huckabee

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