The Real Arithmetic Of The Health Care Reform Posted on March 21, 2010 by admin The Real Arithmetic Of The Health Care Reform –- NYT –- by a former CBO director. Required reading for Paul Hewitt. – – ADDENDUM More info on health care reform on Memeorandum, Politico and Slate. Related PostsIn 1965, Congress said Medicare would cost $9 billion by 1990. In reality, it cost $67 billion -seven times more than the prediction.Nate Silver: InTrade probability on ObamaCare is quite right.What has been the best InTrade prediction market ever? Has the ObamaCare prediction market at InTrade been ahead of the commentary?