New Market: Amendment to UIGEA
Monday, Apr 14, 2008
We have listed a contract on an amendment to the Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act being passed before the end of 2010, and that Rep. Barney Frank will be a sponser of the bill. This contract can be found under Legal —- Internet Gaming.
This contract will settle (expire) at 100 ($10.00) if a bill amending the provisions of the US code implementing UIGEA will pass by 11:59:59pm ET on the date specified in the contract, AND Rep. Barney Frank is among the bill’-s sponsors
The contract will settle (expire) at 0 ($0.00) if a bill amending the provisions of the US code implementing UIGEA DOES NOT pass by 11:59:59pm ET on the date specified in the contract, or it does pass and Rep. Barney Frank is NOT among the bill’-s sponsors
Expiry will be based on the official passage of any bill, as reported by three independent and reliable media sources. For expiry purposes the Library of Congress? Thomas system will be used as the definitive source of information.
A bill will be considered “-passed”- once it has been passed by congress (House and Senate) and sent to the President for signing. What the President does with the bill will not affect expiry.
The UIGEA is the “-Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act”-.
Due to the nature of this contract please also see Contract Rule 1.7 Unforeseen Circumstances.
The Exchange reserves the right to invoke Contract Rule 1.8 (Time Protection) if deemed appropriate.
Any changes to the result after the contract has expired will not be taken into account – Exchange Rule 1.4
Please contact the exchange by emailing email@example.com if you have any questions regarding this contract before you place a trade.
Why is Barney Frank’-s footprint so important, in that contract? Makes no sense at all to personalize the issue. John Delaney is the most illogical man I have ever met.
Previous blog posts by Chris F. Masse:
- “Is Clinton’s Pennsylvania Lead Really 20 Points?”
- The Most Surprising Piece Of News I’ve Heard Today
- My first prediction market plugin for WordPress
- Prediction markets tend to be so illiquid, though, that mere activity looks like volatility.
- Decision Markets and Futarchy are solutions in desperate search for a problem to solve and for their early adopters… and that may stay that way well after Robin Hanson’s head gets cryogenized.