Intrade beats Zogby on Super Tuesday
Caveat Bettor February 6th, 2008
Both the prediction market and the pollster called 5 of the 7 head-to-head contest winners, so it was mostly ties between them. But in the NJ Democratic primary and the California Republican primary, Intrade contracts pointed to the winner on election eve, while Zogby indicated a tie in NJ and Romney in California.
| Standings | |||||
| Wins | Losses | Ties | Pct | Contender | Avg Eve Prob |
| 5 | 2 | 9 | 59.4% | Intrade | 69.6% |
| 2 | 5 | 9 | 40.6% | Zogby | 39.2% |
Contest-by-contest breakdown at Caveat Bettor.
I was disappointed that Zogby only presented polling on 7 of the 20 contests on Super Tuesday.
Go and get yourself a gravatar.
http://gravatar.com/
.
http://www.midasoracle.org/200.....ment-16817
ok, i uploaded my blogger photo many weeks ago, but logged in and SELECTED it, so hopefully it starts working from here on out.
Great, your gravatar comes with your comment. I think it should appear on your old posts, too