Intrade beats Zogby on Super Tuesday

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Both the prediction market and the pollster called 5 of the 7 head-to-head contest winners, so it was mostly ties between them. But in the NJ Democratic primary and the California Republican primary, Intrade contracts pointed to the winner on election eve, while Zogby indicated a tie in NJ and Romney in California.

Standings &nbsp- &nbsp- &nbsp- &nbsp-
Wins Losses Ties Pct Contender Avg Eve Prob
&nbsp- &nbsp- &nbsp- &nbsp- &nbsp- &nbsp-
5 2 9 59.4% Intrade 69.6%
2 5 9 40.6% Zogby 39.2%

Contest-by-contest breakdown at Caveat Bettor.

I was disappointed that Zogby only presented polling on 7 of the 20 contests on Super Tuesday.

3 thoughts on “Intrade beats Zogby on Super Tuesday

  1. Caveat Bettor said:

    ok, i uploaded my blogger photo many weeks ago, but logged in and SELECTED it, so hopefully it starts working from here on out.

  2. Chris. F. Masse said:

    Great, your gravatar comes with your comment. I think it should appear on your old posts, too

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