I try to only follow electoral races in highly digested form -that is, thru the lens of the political prediction markets.

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Excellent formulation by Mike Linksvayer.

Tells a lot about the usage of the prediction market probablities, and how we should market them to people. BetFair, InTrade and TradeSports, are you listening?

I check prices at Intrade most days, which gives me a more accurate and much more concise status update than any amount of time spent reading or watching commentary.

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