Prediction Market Proposal: MicroSoft Windows Vista vs. MicroSoft Windows XP

No GravatarIt&#8217-s not the first time that I read an opinion piece lambasting Vista on the CNET site.

I would like to see a long-term prediction market at PopSci PPX on whether Vista will start off and be more popular than XP, one day. I&#8217-d short-sell everything like crazy.

Previous blog posts by Chris F. Masse:

  • Robin Hanson wants to rule the world —just as CEOs and heads of states do for a living.
  • Predictify got funded… Great for those who will be hired… But is it a good thing, overall?
  • Nassim Nicholas Taleb likens modern-day financial markets to medicine in the 1800s, when going to a hospital in London or Paris multiplied your risk of death by four times, he says. Similarly, quants increase risk by deploying flawed financial tools designed to reduce it, he argues.
  • TradeSports-InTrade — Check Deposits
  • BetFair Australia fought for free trade across Australian state boundaries… and won.

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