Emile Servan-Schreiber and Chris Hibbert (two veterans of the field of prediction markets) have strong doubts that Intel is using a trading mechanism. (Nothing wrong with using a non-trading mechanism, we just want to know for sure. )

I will re-read the Intel paper later on, but here is a quick stats: the phrase &#8220-prediction markets&#8221- is used 15 times in the paper, including 7 times in the section titled, you guessed it, &#8220-MARKET MECHANISMS AS FORECASTING TOOLS&#8220-.

And here&#8217-s a crucial sentence I found out in the abstract:

The process enables product and market experts to dynamically negotiate product forecasts in an environment offering anonymity and performance-based incentives.

Does negotiation mean trading here? My first reading was &#8220-yes&#8221-, but I wonder what it means in light of the comment made by market design expert Chris Hibbert.

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