Prediction Markets = Collective Forecasting = Collective Intelligence That Predicts

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The Midas Oracle Post Archives

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Contents

  • List Of The Last 200 Posts
  • List Of The Best Posts
  • List Of The Explainer Posts
  • List Of The Guest Posts
  • List Of The Last 10,000 Posts
  • List Of The Last 200 Comments
  • List Of The Posters
  • List Of The Post Categories
  • List Of The Popular Post Tags
  • Calendar Of Posts
  • Current Charts
  • Expired Charts
  • Site Map
  • Search Midas Oracle

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The List Of The Last 200 Midas Oracle Posts

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Technical Tip: To search this archive page within your browser, go to “Edit” and “Find”, and type your query.

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  • The anonymity of “Wiser Than The Crowd” will expire soon.
  • The Pop Sci Prediction Exchange — 2007–2009
  • HedgeStreet morphs into Nadex.
  • The New Options Market
  • BetFair.net
  • Smarkets want to take on BetFair.
  • Collective intelligence website Hunch is doing pretty well.
  • Nate Silver against the Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act of 2006 (UIGEA)
  • Betdaq’s financials
  • How confidential is your confidential data in the hands of online payment solutions? Is Moneybookers fully in tune with the law?
  • The OpenFund aims to help (Greek) entrepreneurs with fresh ideas to jumpstart their business.
  • Bets in plain (but verbose) (British) English
  • Scholarly journals are not so open.
  • Andrew Goldberg’s wrap-up on the InTrade prediction markets
  • A new blog on InTrade’s prediction markets: Prediction (Market) Insights
  • BetFair’s Mark Davies will advise the UK government on sports betting integrity.
  • Is BetFair becoming too complicated?
  • June 28’s BetFair millionaire story (about Elliott Short) in the News Of The World was total bullshit.
  • June 28’s BetFair millionaire story (about Elliott Short) in the News Of The World
  • BetFair is going to make money in America…
  • Behind Nigel Eccles (of HubDub fame), the remains of the West Pier in Brighton, England.
  • Why don’t they use prediction markets to settle their Community Reinvestment Act dispute?
  • Our industry needs a third Wikipedia page.
  • Robin Hanson: My best idea was prediction markets.
  • In most cases, the team (including the best predictors) outshines the best predictor working alone.
  • BetFair’s crappy chart widgets
  • Food, Inc. — Yet another movie for Lance Fortnow’s eco-daughter
  • CrowdCast has 11 employees.
  • Inkling Markets and HubDub in TechCrunch
  • Data Analysis Of The Day — Sex Scandal Edition
  • FAIL
  • Usability take of the day for collective forecasters
  • The CrowdCast truth that Robin Hanson would debunk if Our Master Of All Universes were not so obsessed with signalling
  • CrowdCast by Google
  • CrowdCast in the New York Times
  • CrowdCast = Collective Forecasting = Collective Intelligence That Predicts
  • More info about CrowdCast’s brand-new collective forecasting mechanism in my next post –suspense, suspense…
  • Chris Pirillo on HubDub’s prediction markets
  • Andrew Gelman makes more sense than Robin Hanson.
  • James Surowiekci snubs Robin Hanson, and, in return, Robin Hanson mocks James Surowiekci.
  • The Accidental Billionaires: The Founding of FaceBook, a Tale of Sex, Money, Genius and Betrayal
  • BREAKING NEWS: THE DARK AGE IS OFFICIALLY OVER.
  • Andrew Gelman teaches a valuable lesson to Robin Hanson: Quit bragging about your high IQ, man.
  • WordPress blog hacked: What to do, now?
  • Wimbledon Betting Markets
  • Hubdub Hot Predictions This Week
  • Paul Saffo – Effective Forecasting
  • Changing the world thru organic marketing and more objective predictions?
  • eLab eXchange – Will Twitter Rule the World?
  • Accurate prediction markets
  • The Automated Economy — by David Pennock
  • Koleman Strumpf on how weaker copyright protection benefits society
  • David Pennock on The Automated Economy
  • Why did Brad DeLong pick on our Eric Zitzewitz?
  • How to Circumvent an Internet Proxy
  • Type “GE Imagination Market” in Google, and you’ll see prediction market journalism, *first* —and, after that, the spin done by the companies in question.
  • Eric Zitzewitz wanna bet with Brad DeLong.
  • BetFair and Yahoo! are not part of the World Wide Web Consortium — but Google is in.
  • Is General Electric Imagination Market a joke?
  • Hunch = Collective intelligence tool for decision-making
  • The “efficient markets” hypothesis is dead.
  • What Jed Christiansen should avoid at Cambridge University
  • Can prediction markets help improve economic forecasts?
  • Yahoo! Confab Kaput
  • At the contrary, let’s call them prediction markets.
  • Help me beating David Pennock
  • This month, the Supreme Court agreed to reconsider what can be patented.
  • More about prediction markets
  • Eric Crampton’s avatar at Twitter
  • 2 Japanese busted with $134 *BILLION* in US Bonds at Swiss border
  • Adam Siegel looks like Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.
  • Judging things or people based on the vague notion of *intent*…
  • Get your FaceBook name. –> www.facebook.com/username/
  • Royal Bank of Scotland Group (RBSG): No more gambling and betting transactions in The Netherlands and Switzerland.
  • Prediction Markets = Betting Markets = Event Derivative Markets
  • The Accuracy Of Prediction Markets
  • Lance Fortnow’s daughter loved it, so David Pennock’s daughter will love it too.
  • What are the pros and cons about applying prediction markets in Federal Government (e.g. DoD, FAA, DHS) for research and acquisition of systems (e.g. IT, networking, wireless)?
  • Go trading enterprise prediction markets… if you want to meet the boss.
  • The Daily Chuck = the best blog on prediction markets
  • Why is the web traffic surging?
  • The Freakonomics song
  • This post is a (also) test.
  • The web traffic to Midas Oracle is exploding.
  • North American Derivatives Exchange = Nadex = Ex-HedgeStreet
  • HOME = The Earth From Above
  • HedgeStreet becomes Nadex.
  • Crackdown on Internet gambling and betting
  • Mat Fogarty and Leslie Fine are speaking at Enterprise 2.0 in Boston.
  • Is Robin Hanson a market fundamentalist?
  • Decision markets will one day revolutionize governance, both public and private…
  • Download HOME, Yann Arthus-Bertrand’s film — The Earth From Above
  • Guess who is on Twitter.
  • David Pennock’s boss is clueless.
  • Your Internet presence should be centered around your own Internet site, primarily.
  • Google Wonder Wheel on Collective Forecasting
  • Hubdub Hot Predictions This Week
  • Do download HOME (Yann Arthus-Bertrand’s film) before it is too late.
  • Google does credit Robin Hanson for “collective forecasting”.
  • Midas Oracle has a de facto monopoly on “collective forecasting”.
  • The economics crisis is over when CEOs indulge in pantagruelic meals.
  • Patrick Young (InTrade’s fifth Beatle) still can’t figure out the industry he helped created.
  • The Future of Media: 2009
  • Very useful tools for following on blog posts
  • Wanna make money on Midas Oracle?
  • HubDub on CNN — 30 seconds into
  • InTrade’s fifth Beatle talks (very fast) about the financial markets.
  • Mike Linksvayer *himself* is to blame for the non-liquidity of his Wikipedia prediction markets.
  • In futarchy, the decisions are coercive.
  • ROBIN HANSON HAS RENOUNCED TO RULE THE UNIVERSE VIA PREDICTION MARKETS.
  • Morons and Non-Morons — Sheep and Wolves
  • *Years* later, the BetFair blogs are still *not* taking off.
  • 300 happy people… minus one imbecile
  • “Collective Forecasting”… becomes officially our second industry keyword starting today —I decreeted that after a good slurp of Bordeaux wine.
  • InTrade daily prediction market wrapup
  • So much for Prof Panos and his data religion
  • The British prime minister will leave office this month —dixit the BetFair traders.
  • Why Google don’t want to hire research scientist David Pennock
  • Great software packages
  • Global Foresight
  • Our prediction market community is strong because our members are open.
  • Wiser than the IRS?
  • Sheep and Wolves
  • Were prediction markets useless during the H1N1 breakout?
  • There are not enough big active traders on InTrade.
  • Google Squared is a big piece of crap.
  • Prediction Markets for Valuing Private Companies
  • BetFair has made a voluntary contribution to the Levy Board.
  • BetFair’s Memoranda of Understanding benefits both bettors and sports.
  • What do prediction markets say about unemployment and swine flu in Australia?
  • A new glimpse into the revamped Overcoming Bias
  • Are good blogs driven by author personalities or by well drilled topics?
  • What makes a good blog, and how much can you value a popular blog?
  • Vernon Smith’s publisher
  • Prediction markets are a zero-sum game.
  • Social networking tool Spigit goes enteprise prediction markets.
  • Robin Hanson wants to see only one emerging head —his.
  • ROBIN HANSON CENSORS A CONTRADICTOR.
  • Inside Venture as an alternative to IPOs.
  • IBM = a bunch of idiots
  • The best Internet strategy
  • Traded bets — a la Robin Hanson
  • They love coding too much.
  • Professor Richard Wiseman misunderstands both the (real) wisdom of crowds and the (hypothetical) mechanism of precognition.
  • Hubdub Hot Predictions This Week
  • Bing (the brand-new search engine from the Evil Empire) is a big piece of shit.
  • The MIT CCI removes Robin Hanson.
  • NewsFutures is using Red Hat Enterprise Linux.
  • The prediction markets chalk another one up, as Susan Boyle is sent packing.
  • What prediction market people should know about Google Wave
  • Max Keiser interviews financial economist and historian Michael Hudson.
  • Prof Panos hates it when I point to a prediction market “failure”.
  • Why I unsubscribed to John Delaney (InTrade) and Jed Christiansen at Twitter
  • Some thougths about Amazon.com
  • Twitter drove more traffic to Midas Oracle than Marginal Revolution (who have linked to us) did —this past week.
  • Rich Jaycobs was right.
  • Wikipedia is cracking down on self-serving edits.
  • Institutional Decision Analysis
  • Emile Servan-Schreiber coined the term “collective forecasting”… Robin Hanson popularized it…
  • Why reporting on *one* expired prediction market is no fun… when using the scientific approach
  • Google PageRank Update
  • Mobile site review: BetFair
  • IncentAlign – Harness the power of free markets for your firm…
  • Imaginatik is the leading provider of collaborative innovation and enterprise crowdsourcing solutions.
  • In which I respectfully disagree with Patri Friedman
  • Patenting the prediction markets?
  • If they stole Robin Hanson’s ideas on prediction markets, does it mean that his ideas are good?
  • Are prediction markets really useful to *you*?
  • Robin Hanson has bugged us over the last week-end to insist we should use the NewsFutures-coined term “collective forecasting”, and guess what I spot as a tagline on his blog.
  • Prediction markets must have sufficient information completeness to accurately predict outcomes with a reasonable degree of certainty.
  • La patience a ses limites.
  • What’s next for the Swine Flu (H1N1) alert level: 4 or 6?
  • Even when well calibrated, prediction markets can be useless, nevertheless.
  • Robin Hanson has overhauled his (ex-group) blog.
  • MicroSoft have patented the prediction markets.
  • You Bet: a bad book about BetFair
  • Prediction markets have failed at forecasting correctly an important event —*once again*.
  • NewsFutures OKays “collective forecasting”.
  • Intrade Meltdown
  • What Robin Hanson didn’t tell you about collective forecasting
  • Predicting = Forecasting –> Collective Forecasting = Collective Intelligence That Predicts
  • Predicting vs. Forecasting
  • Prof Andrew Gelman on “predicting” and “forecasting”
  • Could prediction markets help solve a crime?
  • Let’s create a prediction market…
  • What Robin Hanson didn’t tell you about “forecasting”
  • Forecasting or Predicting?
  • Why reporting stuff about prediction markets means bugging the prediction market people till they spit the truth finally
  • Why BetFair and InTrade as media can’t be trusted
  • Twine on prediction markets
  • Collective Forecasting, Anyone?
  • Wall Street goes open source…
  • Feed My Inbox = RSS to Email
  • Real-time prediction market price quotes on your blog
  • Collective Intelligence That Predicts
  • Peer-to-peer lending is crossing the SEC’s hair.
  • Was Larry King a horse racing betting addict in the late 60s and early 70s?
  • Confusing the prediction markets with the non-trading collective intelligence solutions
  • IndiaPX – India’s Prediction Market
  • Timetric is a service for storing, searching, graphing and publishing the world’s statistical data.

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    List Of The Best Posts

    - The List Of The Best Posts

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    List Of The Explainer Posts

    - The List Of The Explainer Posts

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    List Of The Guest Posts Only

    - The List Of The Guest Authors’ Posts

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    List Of The Last 10,000 Posts

    - The Last 10,000 Midas Oracle Posts

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    List Of The Last 200 Comments

    - The Last 200 Comments On Midas Oracle

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    List Of The Posters

    - The Midas Oracle Blog Posters

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    List Of The Post Categories

    - The Midas Oracle Post Categories

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    List Of The Popular Post Tags

    - The Midas Oracle Post Tags

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    Calendar Of Posts

    - The Midas Oracle Post Calendar

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    Current Charts

    - Probabilistic Predictions = Charts Of Current Prediction Markets

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    Expired Charts

    - Charts Of Expired Prediction Markets

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    Site Map

    - The Midas Oracle Site Map = Listing of all the blog posts, regrouped by category, with duplicates included.

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    Search Midas Oracle

    - Search Midas Oracle = Search Midas Oracle via our site search engine, via Google, via Yahoo!, via Live, or via Ask.

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