InTrade was not able to predict the elimination of Osama Bin Laden. – [PREDICTION POST-MORTEM] Posted on May 4, 2011 by admin I already blogged about the big fail of the prediction markets. Here’-s more from the NYT, Eddy Elfenbein, and Barry Ritholtz. Related PostsInTrade on the elimination of Osama Bin Laden – [ANALYSIS]InTrades prediction markets on secretive events are just an Irish scam. – [ANALYSIS]2009 New Jersey Gubernatorial Race: Was Nate Silvers prediction more accurate than InTrades?