Oscars 2010 Post-Mortem — InTrade Prediction Markets

Posted on March 8, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Professor Mark Perry is wrong to yell victory. Evaluating probabilistic predictions is tougher than one thinks.

Source: InTrade

About Chris F. Masse

Founder and President of Midas Oracle
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One Response to Oscars 2010 Post-Mortem — InTrade Prediction Markets

  1. Paul Hewitt says:
    March 8, 2010 at 1:40 PM

    How convenient of Professor Perry to leave out the two screenplay markets! Precious won and the expectation was only 7.5% on hsx.

    I still couldn’t convince my wife how wonderful these prediction markets really are. You can read more, here:
    http://torontopm.wordpress.com/2010/03/08/oscars-prediction-markets-get-it-right/

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