2 MILLION TRADES LATER: Inkling’s play-money prediction markets are accurate —too.
Chris F. Masse June 25th, 2008
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So, just like flipping a coin, if Inkling told you something has a 15% probability of coming true, you can’t just look at one outcome (i.e. one coin flip). You need to look at multiple scenarios where Inkling said something would happen 15% of the time. If those things actually come true, 15% of the time, Inkling is doing well at this.
