NOT-FOR-PROFIT… or… FOR-PROFIT… That is the question.

The dilemma goes like this:

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1. If the CFTC allows for-profit prediction exchanges –> that’s a good step forward (even though sports are excluded from the legal offerings);
2. If the CFTC allows only not-for-profit prediction exchanges –> that’s a micro step forward (but still positive in the eyes of many).

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BACKGROUND INFO:

CFTC’s Concept Release on the Appropriate Regulatory Treatment of Event Contracts… notably how they define “event markets”, how they are going to extend their “exemption” to other IEM-like prediction exchanges, and how they framed their questions to the public.

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UPDATE: In the for-profit vs not-for-profit debate, our prediction market luminaries, doctored by Bob, are on the wrong side of the issue.

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