The GOP SC and Dem NV Showdown: Intrade v. Zogby

Posted on January 18, 2008 by Caveat Bettor

If McCain wins SC, the GOP contest will be called for Intrade. If Thompson or Romney wins, that contest will be called for Zogby. If any other GOP candidate wins, the contest will end in a draw.

If Obama wins NV, the Dem context will be called for Intrade. If Edwards wins, that contest will be called for Zogby. If H.Clinton or another candidate wins, the contest will end in a draw.

Zogby does not have recent information posted about the GOP in NV nor the Dems in SC, so a meaningful contest with Intrade cannot be had. While it’s not a forfeiture by Zogby, at least it’s a tiebreaker for Intrade.

Election eve candidate probabilities posted at Caveat Bettor.

About Caveat Bettor

Prediction Market Trader (and a Proprietary Trader and Risk Manager, working for a few investment banks for more than 20 years) - North America
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2 Responses to The GOP SC and Dem NV Showdown: Intrade v. Zogby

  1. Chris. F. Masse says:
    January 19, 2008 at 4:01 AM

    I have corrected this URL in your text:
    https://intrade.com/#
    Coz when I clicked on it, it said “warming, domain mismatched” etc.

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