Good idea, but they should put the most liquid prediction markets (InTrade, for North-America issues) ahead of the others —-and they should publish BetFair’-s charts, too.
See Midas Oracle’-s page on prediction markets.
Read the previous blog posts by Chris F. Masse:
- Jason Ruspini was an imprudent and cocky predictor, but, in the end, he is a honest man.
- Polls Vs. Prediction Markets
- Prediction exchanges let traders buy and sell contracts on the likelihood of future events. Contracts are structured so the prices can be read as a percent likelihood of an event occurring.
- What Jed Christiansen did say about Predictify
- Russell Andersson, Chief Operating Officer: Third Ave Beach
- Based on the analysis of some 600,000 official Iraqi documents seized by US forces after the invasion and thousands of hours of interrogations of former officials in Saddam’s government now in US custody, there is no evidence Saddam Hussein had ties to Al Qaeda.
- Robin Hanson is breaking the Internet.