Would prediction registries obtain 80% of the benefits of prediction markets?

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Smart *** Mike Linksvayer (who has an opinion on anything) doubts that the number is that high. (How does he know??? How dare of him to contredict Robin Hanson, the master of the Universe???) What do you think, guys and gals?

(((And I renamed the Midas Oracle post category, &#8220-Track Records&#8221-, to read now &#8220-Prediction Registries&#8220-. See, even though I roast Mike Linksvayer publicly, he has a profound impact on moi.)))

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