Post Mortem

Post-Mortem Predictions

  • 2008 US Elections
  • 2004 US Elections
  • 2000 US Elections
  • 2011 Osama Bin Laden Elimination
  • 2011 Fukushima Nuclear Power Plant
  • 2011 Fukushima Earthquake

2008 US Elections

2008 US Presidential Elections

2008 Democratic Nomination

2008 Republican Nomination

Source: InTrade

2008 US Presidential Election

2008 US Presidential Election Winner – Individual

Source: InTrade

2008 US Presidential Election Winner – Political Party

Source: InTrade

2008 Electoral College

ec-dem

ec-rep

Source: InTrade

2008 US Congressional Elections Winner – Political Party

2008 US Senate Control

Source: InTrade

2008 US House Of Representatives Control

Source: InTrade

2008 U.S. Presidential Election Winner-Take-All Market

2008 U.S. Presidential Election Vote Share Market

Source: Iowa Electronic Markets

2004 US Elections – 2004 US Presidential Elections

2004 George W Bush is re-elected as United States President

2004 US Presidential Election Winner Takes All Market - Kerr

2004 US Presidential Election Vote Share Market - Kerry Vers

2000 US Elections – 2000 US Presidential Elections

The 2000 U.S. Presidential Election Winner-Takes-All Market

The 2000 U.S. Presidential Vote Share Market

2011 Osama Bin Laden Elimination

2011 Fukushima Nuclear Power Plant

2011 Fukushima Earthquake

Current Predictions

Probabilistic Predictions = Charts Of Current Prediction Markets

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