Prediction Markets = Collective Forecasting = Collective Intelligence That Predicts

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About Midas Oracle

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What Is Midas Oracle About?

Midas Oracle is a popular group blog about prediction markets (a.k.a. event derivative markets) and:

  1. their predictive power (investigated by many economists);
  2. their profit opportunities (sought by the traders speculating on the prediction exchanges);
  3. their hedging utility (employed by the risk managers and overseen by the US CFTC);
  4. their entertainment ability (delivered by the play-money prediction exchanges, mainly);
  5. anything else. :-D

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What Does “Midas Oracle” Come From?

  • Midas” refers to the financial traders.
  • Oracle” refers to the predictive power of the financial markets.

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What Are The Issues Discussed On Midas Oracle?

  • Prediction market science;
  • Accuracy and precision of prediction markets;
  • Efficiency of prediction markets;
  • Comparison between prediction markets and the reporting from the mass media;
  • Analysis of mechanisms, behaviors and dynamics;
  • Wording of the event derivative contracts;
  • Mechanism designs of prediction markets (CDA, MSR, DPMM) and other forecasting tools;
  • Transaction costs;
  • Human and automated market makers for prediction markets;
  • Liquidity of prediction markets, and how to overcome thin markets;
  • Manipulation of prediction markets;
  • Arbitrage possibilities between prediction markets;
  • Enterprise prediction markets;
  • Business cases and case studies;
  • Listing of the companies that use prediction markets internally;
  • Analysis of the prediction market industry;
  • Legality of real-money prediction exchanges;
  • Development of real-money and play-money prediction markets;
  • Proposals of brand-new prediction markets;
  • Internet marketing of the prediction exchanges/markets;
  • Information technology used by the prediction exchanges and the traders;
  • Prediction market journalism.

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What Is The Uniqueness Of Midas Oracle?

  1. We publish the best mutant ideas.
  2. We link out a lot to external resources.

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Who Is (Hidden) Behind Midas Oracle?

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How Is Midas Oracle (Mis-)Managed?

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How Can I (Re-)Publish My Ideas On Midas Oracle?

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How Many Midas Oracle Blogs Are Published, Actually?

  1. Midas Oracle .ORG = News Prediction Markets + Prediction Market News
  2. Midas Oracle .NET = Everything But Prediction Markets

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What Advice Would You Give To A Newbie Discovering This Blog?

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Midas Oracle Contents

- Pages

- Posts

- Best Posts

- Probabilistic Predictions

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About Midas Oracle

- About Midas Oracle .ORG

- Blog Authors

- Contact

- Terms Of Use

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