I am re-reading a 2007 scientific article from Region Focus’ Vanessa Sumo:
– Ask The Market – Companies are leading the way in the use of prediction markets. The public sector may soon follow. – (PDF)
Here is what I see on the frontpage:
– “-one or two weeks in advance“-
– “-even up to five weeks in advance“-
Marketing-wise, velocity is a much more potent argument than the argument on accuracy. Who cares about an added accuracy of +2.7% (and that’-s debated)? If any, that’-s peanuts.
You cannot make a case against velocity. Impossible.
UPDATE: Put the PDF link in the address box of your browser (as opposed to clicking on it, or right-clicking on it).