Robin Hanson sends Nassim Nicholas Taleb back in the locker room, and John Delaney does the same with Jason Ruspini.

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4 thoughts on “Robin Hanson sends Nassim Nicholas Taleb back in the locker room, and John Delaney does the same with Jason Ruspini.

  1. Jason Ruspini said:

    I didn’t say who told me.

    Anyway, I see on the iPredict FAQ that they are relaying the “Manipulation?  Nah, don’t worry” message.  That strikes me as a model result that might end-up doing more harm than good.  Even if it’s true in the long run, and there’s little danger of self-fulfilling prophecies in prediction markets in their current form, a single incident can do a lot of damage to the credibility of whoever pushes that message too hard.

    https://www.ipredict.co.nz/Main.php?do=help#faq

  2. Chris F. Masse said:

    It was easy to divine.

  3. Jason Ruspini said:

    I didn’t say who told me.

    Anyway, I see on the iPredict FAQ that they are relaying the “Manipulation?  Nah, don’t worry” message.  That strikes me as a model result that might end-up doing more harm than good.  Even if it’s true in the long run, and there’s little danger of self-fulfilling prophecies in prediction markets in their current form, a single incident can do a lot of damage to the credibility of whoever pushes that message too hard.

    https://www.ipredict.co.nz/Main.php?do=help#faq

  4. Chris F. Masse said:

    It was easy to divine.

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