Midas Oracle .ORG » YooPick

YooPick = an innovation in spread betting markets

Chris F. Masse — Wed, 01 Oct 2008 12:35:49 +0000

Poker is popular on FaceBook. So should be the prediction markets.

Chris F. Masse — Thu, 25 Sep 2008 10:29:57 +0000

- YooPick – (a FaceBook application) – (MSR + AMM)

- Yahoo!’s Yootopia – (?)

Farewell to the Tech Buzz Game… and best wishes to YooPick.

Chris F. Masse — Sat, 20 Sep 2008 15:26:34 +0000

YooPick

The prediction exchanges that have fully embraced the prediction market approach

Chris F. Masse — Sun, 14 Sep 2008 06:59:57 +0000

These prediction exchanges present prices as probabilities (expressed in percentages):

- HubDub

- InTrade .NET … [*] … would get the full point if they were to switch the label “price” for “probability” on their charts.

- NewsFutures … gets half a point. No mention of “probabilities” on their charts.

- Inkling Markets … gets a quarter of a point.

- TradeFair … gets an honorable mention, but won’t show its charts to the non-registered public.

[*] Which prefigures what InTrade .COM is going to be, soon, if I understood well my Deep Throat’s tip.

As for the ultra innovative YooPick, is it yet another case of “do what I say, not what I do“?…

APPENDIX: Lance Fortnow is PMA compatible:

UPDATE: See the comments…

Predict Olympic medal counts on YooPick.

David Pennock — Fri, 15 Aug 2008 15:19:57 +0000

Cross posted from Oddhead Blog.

We’ve just added a new feature to Yoopick especially for Frenchmen Chris and Emile and citizens of nineteen other countries to place their swagor* on how many medals their country will win.

We’ve argued that the Yoopick interface is useful for predicting almost any kind of number, and since medal count is indeed a number, we thought we’d give it a try.

Besides, Lance told us it would be a good idea.

Thanks,
Sharad Goel
David Pennock
Dan Reeves

* Scientific wild-ass guess, on record

Yoopick: Olympic medal count: Select

Yoopick: Olympic medal count: France: Make pick

Since YooPick opened their door, Midas Oracle has been getting, daily, 2 or 3 dozens referrals from FaceBook.

Chris F. Masse — Sun, 06 Jul 2008 10:10:40 +0000

I understand that YooPick is a FaceBook application, but I’d like to know what these people are talking about, and in what context they link to Midas Oracle, and what they expect to find out on Midas Oracle when they click on the Midas Oracle URL. Natural curiosity for an intrepid webmaster like me.

Makes me think of what some IT bloggers said… that they now get more daily referrals from social networking websites (like Twitter, FriendFeed, FaceBook, or LinkedIn) than from Google Web Search.

(That’s not the case with Midas Oracle. For your information, on week days, we receive about 350 daily visits from people using Internet search engines.)

So, if you could answer my interrogations, please, e-mail me.

YooPick for FaceBook

YooPick @ FaceBook

PS: Yet another hit for Robin Hanson‘s MSR. – MSR is only step one in his world domination plan.

UPDATE: Mystery solved.

HOW TO DESTROY INTRADE, TRADESPORTS AND BETFAIR: a betting application for FaceBook

Chris F. Masse — Thu, 03 Jul 2008 12:44:19 +0000

If US laws were gambling compatible, would a FaceBook betting application solve the chicken-and-egg problem that any brand-new prediction exchange is facing? (Short sellers will come to the exchange only if there are enough backers, who will come only if there is enough liquidity, etc.) Could MySpace, FaceBook and LinkedIn (who have registered people by the millions, already) provide a starting launch for future prediction exchanges?

YooPick for FaceBook

YooPick @ FaceBook

PS: Yet another hit for Robin Hanson‘s MSR.