Midas Oracle .ORG » Yahoo! News

Knowns and unknowns of the 2012 presidential elections — [LINK]

Chris F. Masse — Thu, 10 Nov 2011 18:58:37 +0000

“We gather information from a variety of sources (some of which are themselves information aggregators), including prediction markets, polls, web search, social activity, games, and historical precedent, and combine it together to produce a Consensus Prediction that is as unbiased, accurate, and timely as we can possibly make it.”

http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/signal/

Yahoo’s David Rothschild scraps market info from InTrade (and BetFair?), does not cite them, and does not link to them. — [UPDATED]

Chris F. Masse — Fri, 23 Sep 2011 22:22:51 +0000

David Pennock’s little protégé should receive a crash course about citing sources.

~~C’est minable~~.

UPDATE: David Rothschild e-mails me to say he forgot to link to InTrade and BetFair in that story, at publication time, but he added the links later on. Also, he did link to InTrade and BetFair in the past. Kudos to David.

How Bing could kill Google by partnering with news organizations such as the New York Times

Chris F. Masse — Thu, 12 Nov 2009 10:25:44 +0000

According to Jason Calcanis… [click here for the debunking of this idea].

Yahoo! News finally links to InTrade —for legal reasons, not to InTrade .COM (their real-money prediction exchange), but to InTrade .NET (their play-money prediction exchange, which uses an AMM linked to InTrade .COM, without disclosing it to the public).

Chris F. Masse — Mon, 29 Sep 2008 08:46:47 +0000

- InTrade .COM

- InTrade .NET

New Yahoo! News election dashboard

David Pennock — Wed, 03 Sep 2008 14:14:18 +0000

Cross-posted on Oddhead Blog.

The Yahoo! News Political Dashboard has re-launched for the general election stretch run of the 2008 US Presidential election.

From the main map you can see the status of the election in every state according to either polls or Intrade prediction market odds. Hover your mouse over a state to see current numbers or click on a state to see historical trends. On the side, you can see search trends, blogs, news, and demographic breakdowns at national and state levels.

You can also “create your own scenario” by picking who will win in every state. You can save and share your prediction and compare against markets, polls, history, or celebrities. More on ycorpblog.

Readers will be happy to see more thorough and prominent integration of prediction market prices compared to the primary election dashboard. Is that good enough to quiet Chris’s whining?

In the PM view, states are colored either bright red or bright blue, regardless of how close the race is in that state. To see a visualization that blends colors to reflect the tightness of the race, see electoralmarkets.com.

Yahoo! News also offers a candidate badge that you can display on your blog declaring your choice. The badge features national-level polls, prediction markets, search buzz, and money raised.