Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: WSJ Political Market

The hype is over. The party is over. — Part V

InTrade’s play-money spinoffs have disintegrated into cyberspace.
Even the one run by the Wall Street Journal and opportunistically pumped up and over-hyped by Justin Wolfers.
I told my readers from day one that those spinoffs were not the real McCoy.
I told you so.
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InTrade – (Dublin, Ireland, E.U.)

InTrade .NET
Play-Money InTrade = Play-Money InTrade — CDA with an automated [...]

Where the hell is the WSJ Political Market?

I have searched the Wall Street Journal website for 10 good minutes, and it’s utterly impossible to find out the damn link to the WSJ Political Market.
What a bunch of technologically retarded journalos.
Newspapers need to die.
Newspapers = dinosaurs.
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Still unconvinced by prediction market journalist Justin Wolfers

The Justin Wolfers series in the Wall Street Journal is plagued with rotten links to the WSJ’s bot-driven, play-money prediction sub-exchange (which is secretly programed to reflect InTrade’s real-money prices).


The latest installment (which does not featured a single prediction market chart) is written by Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzwewitz. A pillar of prediction market journalism [...]

Nowhere is it disclosed that the WSJ Political Market is trafficked by special bots.

Justin Wolfers in the Wall Street Journal:
The Wall Street Journal is running a political futures market where you can “trade” on candidates’ future performance or see how others assess their chances.
An important remark is that the WSJ Political Market is, number one, a play-money prediction exchange (unlike the real-money prediction exchanges that are studied closely [...]

The Wall Street Journal Political Market = InTrade’s Play-Money Prediction Markets

WSJ Political Market = Yet another pointless and useless play-money prediction exchange, traded mainly by InTrade bots [*] —info that is not disclosed to the public, of course.
[*] There aren’t any automated market makers at NewsFutures, my preferred play-money prediction exchange.
Links:
- InTrade – TradeSports
- TradeSports (play money) – InTrade (play money) – WSJ Political [...]

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