Tag Archives: writer

BetFair-TradeFair (slightly) improve their blog, finally (it was about time) —and open 2 new sections: “prediction markets” and “financials”.

Here’s the vertical menu of the BetFair blog. Scroll down until you see “Politics”, and “Prediction Markets”. – - Here’s their section on politics: – Here’s their section on finance: – - My thoughts: Their “about” page still does not … Continue reading

Posted in Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Prediction Journalism, Resources - References | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

Robin Hanson has some fanboy in India. Great. Tiny caveat: The parroting Indian writer does not acknowledge Robin Hanson by name.

Sreekumar Raghavan on CEO event futures (a.k.a. CEO futures): The main advantage of CEO futures would be that investors would be tracking the performance of all those listed CEOs. The CEOs would also be forthright about their projections and projects. … Continue reading

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Good news: The BetFair blog now features a prediction market column. — Bad news: Their columnist is an anonymous writer with long hair… and dubious skills.

How low can BetFair go with their so-called blog? They are descending so low that they may find out oil in the Hammersmith undergrounds. – Good news: They have a new columnist who tries to apply the prediction market approach. … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Prediction Journalism | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Did the BetFair blog use trading data from InTrade to hint at BetFair’s accuracy??

Latest update on the BetFair blog fiasco — I am alerted today that the BetFair blog has updated its infamous Michigan story with a new compound chart bearing a clearer label. It reads now: Republican nomination – The race so … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Ethics, Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

The Michigan primary as seen thru the BetFair prediction markets

Thanks to Michael Robb from BetFair, I can show you the charts of the last day of trading on Michigan’s election day. You can see, on the Republican chart, Mitt Romney (in red) as the Comeback Kid —starting at 3:00PM … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

The BetFair blog is not a serious publication.

I just got it that professor Leighton Vaughan-Williams’s story published on the official BetFair blog and the BetFair compound chart published on top of his story should be understood independently from each other, as the BetFair chart was pasted there … Continue reading

Posted in Prediction Journalism | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

The official BetFair blog is such a piece of crap that one of its writers is rebelling publicly against it.

One unnamed (!!) writer on the Betting @ BetFair blog (which is the biggest piece of shit I have ever seen in the Bloglosphere in my lifetime): The hunt for betting.betfair.com’s Editor-In-Chief Our yard insider on elusive Editors-In-Chief [...] The … Continue reading

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Prediction Journalism | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Slate publishes a BetFair explainer for the Americans.

YouBet – The wonders and dangers of online sports wagering. – (page 2) – [BetFair explained to the Americans] – by Slate’s T.D. Thornton – 2007-11-28 [...] Betfair, which opened for business in 2000, is best described as day trading … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Betting, Exchanges & Markets, Explainers | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Midas Oracle vs. Vendor’s Blog — Open Blog vs. Closed Blog — Full Truth vs. Total Control

In a previous blog post on Midas Oracle, I mentioned all the prediction market sites cited by The Economist (and I went the extra mile to cite all the prediction market sites that were not cited by The Economist and … Continue reading

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Author urges friends and fans to show support by buying shares at Media Predict.

Josie Brown, the author behind the book proposal “The Housewife Assassin’s Handbook,” one of the titles listed in the first stage of Media Predict’s Project Publish market, went all out to pump up the share price for the text. As … Continue reading

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities, Market Trading | Tagged , , , , | 3 Comments