Tag Archives: World Health Organization

What’s next for the Swine Flu (H1N1) alert level: 4 or 6?

Whats next for the Swine Flu alert level: 4 or 6?

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Hubdub Hot Predictions This Week

Hubdub’s Hot Predictions this week, as decided by Hubdub users and staff, are selected based on their newsworthiness for the week. These stories are bound to be big news this week – and we have forecasts on how they’re likely … Continue reading

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What the prediction market experts said on Predictify

- Freakonomics: – Predictify may be a fine “for dummies” prediction game, but it certainly isn’t prediction “market”. It’s rather more like parimutuel betting. The distinction is important because prediction markets reward people not just for being right, but for … Continue reading

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How to assess Justin Wolfers’ writings for the WSJ, the BetFair blog, the InTrade bulletin, and Midas Oracle

Robert Scoble (who got heat from the rest of the Blogosphere for that): Are you getting content that no one else is? [...] Does that content cause conversations to happen? [...] Does that content get noticed in the niche you’re … Continue reading

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Predictify sparks a prediction market controversy at Freakonomics.

“Smack Fogarty”: Jed and EJSS, a prediction market consultant, and the CEO of a struggling prediction market company, make valid points, but WHO CARES? The general public certainly doesn’t. You can continue to quibble all you want and ride the … Continue reading

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RE: Alleged manipulation of the Hillary Clinton event derivative at InTrade-TradeSports

Does a rich trader, highly partisan and highly convinced that Hillary will make it, care about the price? If he/she has persuaded himself/herself that the expiry will bring $100, then buying the Hillary Clinton event derivative at $40 will yield … Continue reading

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About Man Financial & U.S. Futures Exchange (USFE)

Man Financial: Man Financial is the name adopted by the various international companies and affiliates which make up the brokerage operations of Man Group plc. Man Direct is a trading name of Man Financial Ltd. Man Financial with offices in … Continue reading

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CME-CBOT merger: InTrade-TradeSports vs. USFE

Following USFE’s announcement last week, InTrade-TradeSports is now setting up a set of four prediction markets on the CME-CBOT merger. The dynamic chart below does not appear fully (yet?). Sorry for that. [There’s a problem with this dynamic chart. The … Continue reading

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USFE aims at InTrade. – Financial Times Edition

The Financial Times on U.S. Futures Exchange (USFE): [...] The revamped USFE was formed from the remnants of Deutsche Börse-controlled Eurex US, which lost a bruising battle with the CBOT in 2005 after challenging the Board of Trade’s largest product … Continue reading

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Iowa Electronic Markets: Avian Influenza Prediction Markets + Influenza Prediction Markets

Iowa Electronic Markets: Avian Influenza Prediction Markets Another global influenza pandemic, similar to the 1918 occurrence, is considered inevitable by many experts. Recent cases of avian influenza (H5N1) in birds and humans have led many to fear that this strain … Continue reading

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