Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: West Coast

CFTC’s Concept Release on the Appropriate Regulatory Treatment of Event Contracts

CFTC – (PDF file):
CFTC’s Concept Release on the Appropriate Regulatory Treatment of Event Contracts
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SUMMARY:
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (Commission or CFTC) is soliciting comment on the appropriate regulatory treatment of financial agreements offered by markets commonly referred to as event, prediction, or information markets. \1\ For ease of reference and to avoid classification issues, these [...]

OFFICIAL: NOBEL LAUREATE VERNON SMITH DECAMPS FOR WEST COAST’S CHAPMAN UNIVERSITY.

- The George Mason University statement
- The Chapman University statement
- The Wall Street Journal take
Previous: Deep Throat on the George Mason University exodus to Chapman University. + All GMU’s ICES faculty except Houser and McCabe are leaving to join Chapman University. + NOBEL LAUREATE VERNON SMITH LEAVES ROBIN HANSON’S GEORGE MASON UNIVERSITY TO GO WORKING [...]

Deep Throat on the George Mason University exodus to Chapman University.

#1. David Porter is leaving as of this fall, Stephen Rassenti and Bart Wilson leaving in a year. Kevin McCabe, Daniel Houser and Mark Olson are staying at GMU.
#2. GMU still wants to be able to claim Vernon Smith’s name, and it could well be that he will remain with some affiliation at George Mason [...]

All GMU’s ICES faculty except Houser and McCabe are leaving to join Chapman University.

From: ECON-GRAD-L [mailto:XXXXXXXXX] On Behalf Of Ashley Boggs
Sent: Wednesday, 18 July 2007 2:05 a.m.
To: ECON-GRAD-L@XXXXXX.gmu.edu
Subject: A New Regime for ICES Students
Importance: High
Dear ICES Students:
While this letter is for those economics PH. D. students who consider themselves part of the ICES program, it is being sent to all students on this list server because I have [...]

NOBEL LAUREATE VERNON SMITH LEAVES ROBIN HANSON’S GEORGE MASON UNIVERSITY TO GO WORKING FOR TOM W. BELL’S CHAPMAN UNIVERSITY.

Felix Salmon:
GMU’s economics department is, famously, full of bloggers. Its chairman Donald Boudreaux blogs at Cafe Hayek with colleague Russ Roberts; Robin Hanson founded Overcoming Bias; Bryan Caplan and Arnold Kling blog at EconLog; Peter Boettke blogs at The [...]

Prediction Markets subsidized by Foundations, anyone??

Such things are quite possible, if the infrastructure is created to support them.
Comments GMU professor Robin Hanson on the blog post of philanthropy expert Lucy Bernholz.
Here’s an excerpt of Lucy Bernholz’s blog post on the potential social utility of prediction markets subsidized by foundations:
Could communities be asked to predict what kind of grant making strategies [...]

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