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Recent Posts
- Native apps are reigning on mobiles, but Jakob Nielsen strategically bets on web apps. — [LINK]
- Steven Krivit continues to trash Andrea Rossi and his LENR technology. — [LINK]
- Interview with Adam Lashinsky — [VIDEO]
- Why some people are more innovative — [VIDEO]
- Forbes editor deciphers Steve Jobs’s Apple. — [VIDEO]
- Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
- Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]
- Global warming is a big scam. — [LINK]
- A Swarm of Nano Quadrotors — [VIDEO]
- The Tragedy of the Commons — [VIDEO]
- Guy Kawasaki on Steve Jobs — [VIDEO]
- Inside Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
- A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
- Does Apple lack “generosity”? — [LINKS]
- Apple Education Push — [LINKS]
- Water Crystals — [DOCUMENT]
- Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
- Computers thru time — [CHART]
Tag Archives: Washington D.C.
Some US Congress members have engaged in insider trading. — [VIDEO]
CNBC. CBS. More CBS. 60 Minutes:
Posted in Ethics, Politics
Tagged corruption, D.C., Ethics, Jack Abramoff, Politics, US Congress, US Congress members, US politics, Washington, Washington D.C.
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My response to the CFTC on event contracts
Here is my response to the CFTC’s “Concept Release on the Appropriate Regulatory Treatment of Event Contracts.” I appreciate this opportunity to help in working towards regulated prediction markets in the US, and I thank the Commissioners for it. Given … Continue reading
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Politics, Regulations
Tagged arbitrator, Brookings Institution Press, candidate, CFTC, Commodity Futures Trading Commission
Three Lafayette Centre, Congress, Democratic president, Department of the Treasury, Eric Zitzewitz, Erik Snowberg, Eriz Zitzewitz, event contracts, event derivative markets, event derivatives, event markets, for-profit prediction exchanges, General, insurance contracts, Iraq, Islamic Republic of Iran, Jason Ruspini, Justin Wolfers, laws, not-for-profit prediction exchanges, oil prices, particular product, Paul Tetlock, prediction exchanges, prediction markets, President, Quarterly Journal of Political Science, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, Robert Hahn, Robin Hanson, S&P 500, Securities and Exchange Commission, South Carolina, the candidate, Trader, United States, US Commodity Futures Trading Commission, USD, Washington D.C.
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A Democratic sweep in Washington DC, in November 2008, will likely lead to the legalization of the real-money prediction markets.
Gambling 911: With the Nevada Caucuses taking place this Saturday, The Las Vegas Sun reports that Democrat Hillary Clinton supports a study to determine if Internet gambling can be fairly regulated so that individuals can safely participate in it and … Continue reading
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics, Regulations
Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US political elections, 2008 US presidential elections, BetFair, Betting, Democratic candidate, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Gambling, Hillary Clinton, Internet betting, Internet gambling, Internet Gambling Prohibition and Enforcement Act, InTrade, NewsFutures, online betting, online gambling, Politics, prediction markets, President, Republican candidate, The Las Vegas Sun, U.S. House of Representatives, United States, United States Senate, Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act of 2006, US elections, US political elections, US politics, US President, US presidential elections, Washington D.C., Will Be Democratic, Winning Party
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The market moved but is it news?
In financial markets there is strong evidence to suggest that news gets priced into markets within 15 minutes of its release and sometimes even more quickly. Recent research into prediction markets suggests that they aren’t nearly as efficient with researchers … Continue reading
Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Data), Analysis (Market Efficiency), Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities
Tagged ABC Radio, Fred, Iraq, non-Hodgkin's lymphoma, Pennsylvania, political prediction markets, Politics, prediction markets, Predictions, the New York Times, University of Pennsylvania, US President, US presidential elections, Washington D.C.
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InTrade’s global warming prediction markets are more socially interesting than BetFair’s ones.
InTrade has just opened (and not publicized yet on their site feed) a set of global warming prediction markets —more exactly, event derivative markets on whether the world’s biggest national governments will soon agree to reduce CO2 emissions under the … Continue reading
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements
Tagged c, China, climate change, E.U., global warming, Google, India, InTrade, Japan, John Delaney, KING, London School of Economics, London School of Economics' Centre for Economic Perfomance, media sources, Mike Linksvayer, prediction markets, Ralf Martin, Russia, UNFCC Secretariat, UNFCCC, United Nations, United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, United States, United States Congress, USD, Washington D.C.
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The definitive proof that Emile Servan-Schreiber, the NewsFutures CEO, is an essential part of the world-wide conspiracy aiming at silencing BetFair.
[This post is filed in the "humor" category, of course. ] — Take a look at the blogroll of the NewsFutures blog, which cites everybody but BetFair: Recent Posts UC Riverside’s eLab eXchange : featuring Competitive Forecasting and Idea Pageants Demise … Continue reading
Posted in Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, Humor
Tagged collective intelligence networks, Emile Servan-Schreiber, Hollywood Stock Exchange, Los Angeles, Mike Giberson, NewsFutures CEO, Odd Head, prediction markets, reporter, Republican Party, Ron Paul, RugBY League, sports betting, United States, Washington D.C., www.betfair.com, Yahoo!
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The Civil War Gold Hoax
Straight from Wikipedia: Civil War Gold Hoax was an 1864 hoax perpetrated by two US journalists to exploit the financial situation during the United States Civil War. On May 18, 1864, two New York City newspapers, the New York World … Continue reading
Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, History
Tagged Abraham Lincoln, Associated Press, city editor, commander General, Department of State, Francis A. Mallison, George McClellan, Joseph Howard, Journal of Commerce, New York City, New York Journal, New York Journal of Commerce, New York Stock Exchange, New York World, night foreman, President, reporter, Secretary of Treasury, the Brooklyn Eagle, the New York World, the World, Union army, United States, Virginia, Washington D.C.
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Great City Group Blogs
A short note to tip you about a set of great city group blogs I have just found out. (City blog = a blog that focuses on the big and small news about one city.) Austin – Boston – Chicago … Continue reading
Posted in Resources - References
Tagged Austin, Boston, Chicago, Houston, London, Los Angeles, New York City, Paris, Philadelphia, San Francisco, Seattle, Toronto, Washington D.C.
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Where do carbon credits trade in Europe?
- Wikipedia – Emissions trading: The European Union Emission Trading Scheme is the largest multi-national, greenhouse gas emissions trading scheme in the world. It commenced operation in January 2005 and all 25-member states of the European Union participate in the … Continue reading
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Resources - References
Tagged Beijing, Brussels, Carbon Trust, China, commodities brokerage, energy, energy industry analysis, energy markets, Europe, European Union, greenhouse gas emissions trading scheme, Hamburg, India, Japan, Kiev, Latin America, London, low carbon, low carbon technologies, Manila, natural gas, New Delhi, New York, Norsk Hydro, Oslo, Point Carbon, risk management, risk-management advisory services, Southeast Asia, Sydney, TFS Energy, Tokyo, United Kingdom, United States, Washington D.C.
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Quick remarks on Adrien Amzallag’s dissertation: Designing a Terrorism Prediction Market
I will make two short remarks on Adrien Amzallag’s dissertation, Distilling an Uncertain Future: Designing a Terrorism Prediction Market (PDF). 1. Prediction Market Scenery: Adrien Amzallag states that “Prediction markets innovate in that aggregating information and information discovery are their … Continue reading
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, History
Tagged Adrien Amzallag, America, BetFair, BetFair CEO, CEO, contractor, David Yu, Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, John Delaney, Manhattan building, Middle East, North Korea, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, Saudi Arabia, United Kingdom, United States, USD, Washington D.C., Web-based prediction markets
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